Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40161905›Full record

ArticleTobacco induced diseases2025

Trends, differences, and future projections of lung cancer attributable to secondhand smoke across 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2036.

Yulong Yu, Aifeina Aili, Bili Wu, Weiheng Zhao, Mu Yang, Xianglin Yuan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Tobacco induced diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Yulong Yu *Department of Oncology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Aifeina Aili *Department of Oncology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Bili WuDepartment of Oncology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Weiheng ZhaoDepartment of Oncology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Mu YangDepartment of Oncology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.
Xianglin YuanDepartment of Oncology, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionSecondhand smoke (SHS) has long been identified as a significant risk factor for lung cancer, yet the precise magnitude of its contribution to the global lung cancer burden remains unclear. Our study aims to elucidate the harms associated with lung cancer caused by secondhand smoke while emphasizing the importance of avoiding SHS.

methodsThe annual deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) data were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021 for this secondary dataset analysis. Trends in mortality and DALYs were evaluated, along with correlations with the sociodemographic index (SDI). Projections from 2021 to 2036 utilized a Bayesian age-period-cohort model.

resultsIn 1990, SHS-related lung cancer was responsible for approximately 0.058 million deaths and 1.599 million DALYs, globally. By 2021, these numbers had increased to approximately 0.098 million deaths and 2.356 million DALYs worldwide. Between 1990 and 2021, SHS-related lung cumulatively caused 2.428 million deaths and 62.785 million DALYs. From 1990 to 2021, deaths and DALYs increased significantly, while age-standardized mortality rates (ASMR) and age-standardized DALY rates (ASDR) decreased. Specifically, ASMR decreased from 1.45 to 1.14, and ASDR dropped from 38.40 to 26.93. The high-middle SDI region bore the largest burden, accounting for nearly 40% of global deaths and DALYs. East Asia held the highest burden of lung cancer attributable to secondhand smoke in 2021, while Oceania had the lowest burden. Projections suggest that male ASMR will decline to 1.18 by 2036, while female ASMR is expected to rise to 0.91 by 2029 before decreasing to 0.89 by 2036.

conclusionsThe considerable burden of lung cancer attributable to secondhand smoke underscores the urgent need for targeted public health interventions, particularly in high-risk demographics and regions. To mitigate disparities and enhance global health outcomes, it is crucial to prioritize the avoidance of SHS and the establishment of smoke-free environments.

Indexed as

disease burdenhealth inequalitylung cancerpreventionsecondhand smoke

Identifiers

PMID40161905
PMCPMC11951970

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.