Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40161903›Full record

ArticleTobacco induced diseases2025

Contribution of smoking to the global burden of bladder cancer from 1990 to 2021 and projections to 2046.

Kai Qi, Honghui Cheng, Yiwei Jiang, Yichun Zheng

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Article in Tobacco induced diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

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5citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Kai QiDepartment of Urology, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, and International School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, People's Republic of China.
Honghui ChengDepartment of Urology, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, and International School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, People's Republic of China.
Yiwei JiangDepartment of Urology, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, and International School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, People's Republic of China.
Yichun ZhengDepartment of Urology, The Fourth Affiliated Hospital of School of Medicine, and International School of Medicine, International Institutes of Medicine, Zhejiang University, Yiwu, People's Republic of China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionBased on the results extracted from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021, the objective of this research is to examine the spatiotemporal trends of bladder cancer attributable to smoking from 1990 to 2021, and to make projections up to the year 2046.

methodsThis study conducted a secondary dataset analysis of smoking-attributable bladder cancer data extracted from GBD 2021. Bladder cancer was classified using the International Classification of Diseases 10th Revision (ICD-10) in GBD, and smoking exposure was defined as both current and past use of smoked tobacco products. By employing a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model, the average annual percentage change (AAPC) was determined to examine trends over time.

resultsFrom 1990 to 2021, the number of deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to smoking-attributable bladder cancer increased significantly. The age-standardized death rate (ASDR) decreased, with an AAPC of -1.54 (95% CI: -1.62 - -1.46). The age-standardized DALY rate (ASDLR) also showed a decline, with an AAPC of -1.68 (95% CI: -1.81 - -1.56). The regions that experienced the most significant age-standardized rate (ASR) burden were Central Europe and Western Europe. Regions with high-medium sociodemographic index (SDI) values had the highest number of deaths and DALYs, as well as the highest ASR for both indicators. The heaviest global disease burden is concentrated among males and individuals aged ≥70 years. Smoking-attributable bladder cancer deaths are projected to rise over the next 25 years, reaching 90021.45 by 2046.

conclusionsDespite a decrease in the ASRs of smoking-attributable bladder cancer, the absolute burden has increased and is expected to continue growing. Therefore, continuous and targeted tobacco control measures and medical strategies are needed, especially for developed regions, the elderly, and male populations. And due to the unique mechanisms by which tobacco causes disease, the youth and female populations should not be neglected.

Indexed as

age-standardized ratebladder cancerglobal burden of diseaseprojectionsocioeconomic

Identifiers

PMID40161903
PMCPMC11951971

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.