Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40159245›Full record

ArticleCancer2025

Correlation analysis of invasive disease-free survival and overall survival in a real-world population of patients with HR+/HER2- early breast cancer.

Stephanie L Graff, Sara M Tolaney, Lowell L Hart, Pedram Razavi, Wolfgang Janni, Lee S Schwartzberg, Andriy Danyliv, Murat Akdere, Ilia Ferrusi, Rishi Rajat Adhikary and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Stephanie L GraffBrown University Health Cancer Institute, Legorreta Cancer Center at Brown University, Providence, Rhode Island, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1928-1722
Sara M TolaneyDana-Farber Cancer Institute, Boston, Massachusetts, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5940-8671
Lowell L HartFlorida Cancer Specialists, Sarah Cannon Research Institute, Fort Myers, Florida, USA.
Pedram RazaviMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, New York, USA.
Wolfgang JanniDepartment of Gynecology and Obstetrics, University Hospital Ulm, Ulm, Germany.
Lee S SchwartzbergRenown Health-William N. Pennington Cancer Institute, Reno, Nevada, USA.
Andriy DanylivNovartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland.
Murat AkdereNovartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland.
Ilia FerrusiNovartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, East Hanover, New Jersey, USA.
Rishi Rajat AdhikaryNovartis Healthcare Pvt., Ltd, Hyderabad, Telangana, India.
Joyce A O'ShaughnessyTexas Oncology/Baylor University Medical Center, Dallas, Texas, USA.

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Hongbiao Carl Lekaye · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundOverall survival (OS) is the gold standard for assessing clinical benefit in oncology but requires extended follow-up to detect sufficient events. Invasive disease-free survival (iDFS) requires shorter follow-up times and is considered an objective and clinically meaningful end point in early breast cancer (EBC) trials. The authors assessed iDFS as a surrogate end point for OS in adjuvant HR+/HER2- EBC using real-world patient-level data.

methodsA retrospective analysis was conducted on patient data from the ConcertAI Patient360 database (January 1995-April 2021). Key inclusion criteria: age ≥18 years, stage II or III (AJCC 8th Edition) HR+/HER2- EBC, prior surgery, adjuvant endocrine therapy (ET). Spearman ρ, iterative multiple imputation ρ (IMI; 0.8-1 considered "very strong"), and R

resultsA total of 3133 patients were included (1103 [35.2%] iDFS events; 554 [17.7%] OS events); mean age was 58.4 years, 98.8% were female, 29.9% were premenopausal, and 80.9% had stage II disease. Median follow-up time was 55.1 months. iDFS and OS exhibited a positive, very strong, clinically relevant correlation (Spearman ρ: 0.88 [0.87-0.89]; IMI ρ: 0.83 [0.79-0.86]; both p < .0001). iDFS accounted for 82% of variation in OS (R

conclusionsThis patient-level real-world analysis demonstrated very strong, positive correlations between iDFS and OS, supporting the use of iDFS as a reliable primary end point in adjuvant HR+/HER2- EBC.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesAdultAgedChemotherapy, AdjuvantDisease-Free SurvivalFemaleHumansMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingReceptors, EstrogenReceptors, ProgesteroneRetrospective StudiesERBB2 protein, humanErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesReceptors, EstrogenReceptors, Progesteronecorrelation analysisHR+/HER2– early breast cancerinvasive disease‐free survivaloverall survivalreal world

Identifiers

PMID40159245
PMCPMC11955092

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.