Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40157569›Full record

ArticleIndian heart journal

Comparative evaluation of machine learning models versus TIMI score in ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction patients.

Mohit D Gupta, Dixit Goyal, Shekhar Kunal, Manu Kumar Shetty, M P Girish, Vishal Batra, Ankit Bansal, Prashant Mishra, Mansavi Shukla, Vanshika Kohli and 5 more

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Indian heart journal. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

15 authors.

Mohit D GuptaDepartment of Cardiology, Govind Ballabh Pant Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education and Research, Delhi, India. Electronic address: drmohitgupta@yahoo.com.
Dixit GoyalDepartment of Cardiology, Govind Ballabh Pant Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education and Research, Delhi, India.
Shekhar KunalDepartment of Cardiology, ESIC Medical College and Hospital, Faridabad, Haryana, India.
Manu Kumar ShettyDepartment of Pharmacology, Maulana Azad Medical College, Delhi, India.
M P GirishDepartment of Cardiology, Govind Ballabh Pant Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education and Research, Delhi, India.
Vishal BatraDepartment of Cardiology, Govind Ballabh Pant Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education and Research, Delhi, India.
Ankit BansalDepartment of Cardiology, Govind Ballabh Pant Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education and Research, Delhi, India.
Prashant MishraDepartment of Cardiology, Govind Ballabh Pant Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education and Research, Delhi, India.
Mansavi ShuklaDepartment of Cardiology, Govind Ballabh Pant Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education and Research, Delhi, India.
Vanshika KohliDepartment of Cardiology, Govind Ballabh Pant Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education and Research, Delhi, India.
Akul ChadhaDepartment of Cardiology, Govind Ballabh Pant Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education and Research, Delhi, India.
Arisha FatimaDepartment of Cardiology, Govind Ballabh Pant Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education and Research, Delhi, India.
Subrat MuduliDepartment of Cardiology, Govind Ballabh Pant Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education and Research, Delhi, India.
Anubha GuptaDepartment of Electronics and Communications Engineering, Indraprastha Institute of Information Technology, Delhi, India.
Jamal YusufDepartment of Cardiology, Govind Ballabh Pant Institute of Post Graduate Medical Education and Research, Delhi, India.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundRisk stratification is an integral component of ST-segment-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI) management practices. This study aimed to derive a machine learning (ML) model for risk stratification and identification of factors associated with in-hospital and 30-day mortality in patients with STEMI and compare it with traditional TIMI score.

methodsThis was a single center prospective study wherein subjects >18 years with STEMI (n = 1700) were enrolled. Patients were divided into two groups: training (n = 1360) and validation dataset (n = 340). Six ML algorithms (Extra Tree, Random Forest, Multiple Perceptron, CatBoost, Logistic Regression and XGBoost) were used to train and tune the ML model and to determine the predictors of worse outcomes using feature selection. Additionally, the performance of ML models both for in-hospital and 30-day outcomes was compared to that of TIMI score.

resultsOf the 1700 patients, 168 (9.88 %) had in-hospital mortality while 30-day mortality was reported in 210 (12.35 %) subjects. In terms of in-hospital mortality, Random Forest ML model (sensitivity: 80 %; specificity: 74 %; AUC: 80.83 %) outperformed the TIMI score (sensitivity: 70 %; specificity: 64 %; AUC:70.7 %). Similarly, Random Forest ML model (sensitivity: 81.63 %; specificity: 78.35 %; AUC: 78.29 %) had better performance as compared to TIMI score (sensitivity: 63.26 %; specificity: 63.91 %; AUC: 63.59 %) for 30-day mortality. Key predictors for worse outcomes at 30-days included mitral regurgitation on presentation, smoking, cardiogenic shock, diabetes, ventricular septal rupture, Killip class, age, female gender, low blood pressure and low ejection fraction.

conclusionsML model outperformed the traditional regression based TIMI score as a risk stratification tool in patients with STEMI.

Indexed as

ElectrocardiographyMachine LearningST Elevation Myocardial InfarctionAgedFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHospital MortalityHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsSurvival RateAcute coronary syndromeArtificial intelligenceRisk stratification

Identifiers

PMID40157569
PMCPMC12223519

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.