Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40157382›Full record

Observational studyThe Lancet. Microbe2025

Epidemiology of Shigella species and serotypes in children: a retrospective substudy of the MAL-ED observational birth cohort study.

Elizabeth T Rogawski McQuade, Jie Liu, Mustafa Mahfuz, Alexandre Havt, Tintu Varghese, Jasmin Shrestha, Furqan Kabir, Pablo Peñataro Yori, Amidou Samie, Queen Saidi and 14 more

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in The Lancet. Microbe, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics · 2026
    Review
  2. Bacteriophage Sf14 survival under simulated gastrointestinal conditions.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. The consequences ofEClinicalMedicine · 2026
    Article
  6. The Burden and Genomic Characterization ofmedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2026
    Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Development of a NovelVaccines · 2026
    Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Development of an 8-valentFrontiers in immunology · 2026
    Article
  13. Evaluation of the performance and feasibility of RLDT in detectingmedRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors.

Elizabeth T Rogawski McQuadeDepartment of Epidemiology, Emory University Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, GA, USA.
Jie LiuSchool of Public Health, Qingdao University, Qingdao, China.
Mustafa MahfuzInternational Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Alexandre HavtFederal University of Ceara, Fortaleza, Brazil.
Tintu VargheseChristian Medical College, Vellore, India.
Jasmin ShresthaWalter Reed/AFRIMS Research Unit Nepal, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Furqan KabirInfectious Diseases Research Laboratory, Department Of Paediatrics and Child Health, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Pablo Peñataro YoriDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Health, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA, USA; Asociacion Benefica PRISMA, Iquitos, Peru.
Amidou SamieUniversity of Venda, Thohoyandou, South Africa.
Queen SaidiDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Health, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA, USA; Haydom Global Health Research Centre, Haydom Lutheran Hospital, Haydom, Tanzania.
Adil KalamInfectious Diseases Research Laboratory, Department Of Paediatrics and Child Health, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Fatima AzizInfectious Diseases Research Laboratory, Department Of Paediatrics and Child Health, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Sahrish MuneerInfectious Diseases Research Laboratory, Department Of Paediatrics and Child Health, Aga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Rashidul HaqueInternational Centre for Diarrhoeal Disease Research, Bangladesh, Dhaka, Bangladesh.
Aldo A M LimaFederal University of Ceara, Fortaleza, Brazil.
Maheswari KalaivananChristian Medical College, Vellore, India.
Sanjaya ShresthaWalter Reed/AFRIMS Research Unit Nepal, Kathmandu, Nepal.
Najeeha Talat IqbalAga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Zulfiqar BhuttaAga Khan University, Karachi, Pakistan.
Margaret N KosekDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Health, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA, USA; Asociacion Benefica PRISMA, Iquitos, Peru.
Pascal BessongUniversity of Venda, Thohoyandou, South Africa.
Estomih MdumaHaydom Global Health Research Centre, Haydom Lutheran Hospital, Haydom, Tanzania.
James A Platts-MillsDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Health, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA, USA.
Eric R HouptDivision of Infectious Diseases and International Health, University of Virginia School of Medicine, Charlottesville, VA, USA. Electronic address: erh6k@virginia.edu.

Funding

Gates Foundation INV-041730
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundShigellosis is a leading cause of diarrhoea in children globally. We aimed to assess the burden of specific Shigella species and Shigella flexneri serotypes, characterise their clinical syndromes and natural immunity, and evaluate their relevance as causes of diarrhoea and linear growth faltering.

methodsIn the MAL-ED birth cohort study, children younger than 17 days were enrolled from Nov 3, 2009, to Feb 29, 2012, in Bangladesh, Brazil, India, Nepal, Pakistan, Peru, Tanzania, and South Africa and were followed up for 2 years. In this retrospective substudy, we retested Shigella quantitative PCR-positive diarrhoeal and non-diarrhoeal stool samples with molecular subtyping assays. We estimated the prevalence of specific Shigella species and serotypes, estimated their associations with diarrhoea and clinical characteristics using generalised linear mixed models, estimated their associations with linear growth using linear regression, and used longitudinal infection data to estimate protection due to previous infection using the Andersen and Gill extension of the Cox model.

findings1715 children (874 [51·0%] male and 841 [49·0%] female) with complete follow-up to 2 years provided 45 835 stool samples collected between age 0 and 2 years. 1294 (75·5%) children had at least one Shigella detection in a non-diarrhoeal or asymptomatic stool and 507 (29·6%) had at least one Shigella-attributed diarrhoea episode. In this substudy, we were able to type 1202 samples. The most common species and serotypes were Shigella sonnei (366 [30·4%] of 1202), S flexneri 2a (250 [20·8%]), and S flexneri 6 (296 [24·6%]). The associations of S flexneri and S sonnei detection with diarrhoea versus asymptomatic control stools were similar. Compared with diarrhoea episodes attributable to S flexneri, those attributable to S sonnei were less likely to be bloody (prevalence ratio 0·36 [95% CI 0·23 to 0·56]) or severe (prevalence ratio 0·58 [0·35 to 0·96]). The associations between asymptomatic Shigella infections and impaired linear growth at age 2 years were stronger for S flexneri than S sonnei (S flexneri length-for-age Z score difference -0·18 [95% CI -0·29 to -0·07] and S sonnei length-for-age Z score difference -0·07 [-0·21 to 0·07]). Examination of longitudinal infections showed that previous S sonnei infection was associated with a lower hazard of subsequent S sonnei diarrhoea (calibrated hazard ratio 0·41 [95% CI 0·19 to 0·90]). Otherwise, evidence for homotypic or heterotypic natural immunity was not apparent.

interpretationThis study provides data on prevailing Shigella species and serotypes in settings with a high burden of disease, underscoring the importance of asymptomatic S flexneri infection on growth impairment and the severity of S flexneri diarrhoea. Upcoming Shigella vaccines might need to induce immune responses that improve upon those produced by natural infection.

fundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.

Indexed as

Dysentery, BacillaryShigellaBirth CohortBrazilChild, PreschoolDiarrheaFecesFemaleHumansIndiaInfantInfant, NewbornMalePrevalenceRetrospective StudiesSerogroup

Identifiers

PMID40157382
PMCPMC12134051

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.