Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40156135›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2025

Comparing waist circumference with body mass index on obesity-related cancer risk: a pooled Swedish study.

Ming Sun, Christel Häggström, Marisa da Silva, Innocent B Mboya, Ylva Trolle Lagerros, Karl Michaëlsson, Sven Sandin, Jerzy Leppert, Sara Hägg, Sölve Elmståhl and 7 more

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Anthropometric factors, physical activity, and the risk of soft tissue sarcoma: a case-control study.European journal of cancer prevention : the official journal of the European Cancer Prevention Organisation (ECP) · 2026
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Ming SunDepartment of Translational Medicine, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-4134-6935
Christel HäggströmNorthern Registry Centre, Department of Diagnostics and Intervention, Oncology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-6808-4405
Marisa da SilvaDepartment of Translational Medicine, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-1215-8625
Innocent B MboyaDepartment of Translational Medicine, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-9861-5879
Ylva Trolle LagerrosDepartment of Medicine, Huddinge, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-6816-7577
Karl MichaëlssonMedical Epidemiology, Department of Surgical Sciences, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-2815-1217
Sven SandinDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-6994-4884
Jerzy LeppertCentre for Clinical Research, Västmanland Hospital, Uppsala University, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-1433-0329
Sara HäggDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-2452-1500
Sölve ElmståhlDepartment of Clinical Sciences Malmö, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-7153-5414
Patrik K E MagnussonDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-7315-7899
Stefan SöderbergDepartment of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-9225-1306
Weiyao YinDepartment of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-9534-8207
Abbas ChabokDepartment of Clinical Sciences, Division of Surgery, Danderyd Hospital, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-9662-5045
Angela WoodDepartment of Public Health and Primary Care, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-7937-304X
Tanja StocksDepartment of Translational Medicine, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-0904-0557
Josef FritzDepartment of Translational Medicine, Lund University, Malmö, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0003-1342-3435

Funding

Cancer Research FoundationDepartment of Oncology, Malmö University Hospital, and China Scholarship CouncilLund University Infrastructure STYR 2019/2046Mrs Berta Kamprad's Cancer Foundation FBKS-2021-12Swedish Cancer Society 2021-01934Swedish Cancer Society 230633 SIASwedish Research Council 2017-00644Swedish Research Council 2021-00160Swedish Research Council 2021-00180
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundGeneral adiposity, assessed by body mass index (BMI), is a well-established cancer risk factor. This study compared waist circumference (WC), a measure of abdominal adiposity, with BMI as a risk factor for obesity-related cancers, and assessed whether WC provides additional information beyond BMI.

methodsWe analyzed data from 339 190 individuals in a pooled Swedish cohort with baseline BMI and WC assessments from 1981 to 2019 (61% objectively measured, mean age 51.4 years). Cancer diagnoses were obtained from the Swedish Cancer Register. Hazard ratios (HRs) for WC and BMI were calculated using multivariable-adjusted Cox regression. To account for WC's greater variability, we corrected HRs using regression dilution ratios. To assess WC's additional contribution beyond BMI, we analyzed WC residuals in multivariable, BMI-adjusted models.

resultsDuring a median follow-up of 13.9 years (interquartile range: 8.0-22.5), 18 185 IARC-established obesity-related cancers were recorded. In men, a 1-standard deviation (SD) increase in WC was associated with a 25% higher risk of obesity-related cancers (HR1-SD = 1.25, 95% CI = 1.21 to 1.30), compared to a 19% increase for BMI (HR1-SD = 1.19, 95% CI = 1.15 to 1.23, P = 0.014 for heterogeneity). Among women, associations were weaker and similar for both WC (HR1-SD = 1.13, 95% CI = 1.11 to 1.16) and BMI (HR1-SD = 1.13, 95% CI = 1.11 to 1.15, P = 0.357 for heterogeneity). Waist circumference residuals were more strongly associated with obesity-related cancer risk in men (HR1-SD = 1.09, 95% CI = 1.06 to 1.12) than in women (HR1-SD = 1.03, 95% CI = 1.02 to 1.05). Including an additional 6893 potential obesity-related cancers yielded similar patterns of associations. CONCLUSION(S): Waist circumference is a stronger risk factor than BMI for obesity-related cancer in men, conveying additional risk information, whereas this is less evident in women.

Indexed as

Body Mass IndexNeoplasmsObesityWaist CircumferenceAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRegistriesRisk FactorsSweden

Identifiers

PMID40156135
PMCPMC12505136

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.