Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40154983›Full record

ArticleBMJ (Clinical research ed.)2025

Using natural experiments to evaluate population health and health system interventions: new framework for producers and users of evidence.

Peter Craig, Mhairi Campbell, Manuela Deidda, Ruth Dundas, Judith Green, Srinivasa Vittal Katikireddi, Jim Lewsey, David Ogilvie, Frank de Vocht, Martin White

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ (Clinical research ed.), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 23 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
23citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

23 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Impacts of built environment changes on physical activity in Canada: a systematic review of natural experiments.Health promotion and chronic disease prevention in Canada : research, policy and practice · 2026
    Pooled it
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  10. Natural experiments for healthier communities: evidence to drive Canadian policy and practice.Health promotion and chronic disease prevention in Canada : research, policy and practice · 2026
    Article
  11. Natural experiments in the built environment: evaluating impacts on health.Health promotion and chronic disease prevention in Canada : research, policy and practice · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Peter CraigMRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7653-5832
Mhairi CampbellMRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4416-7270
Manuela DeiddaSchool of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0921-6970
Ruth DundasMRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3836-4286
Judith GreenWellcome Centre for Cultures and Environments of Health, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2315-5326
Srinivasa Vittal KatikireddiMRC/CSO Social and Public Health Sciences Unit, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6593-9092
Jim LewseyHealth Economics and Health Technology Assessment, School of Health and Wellbeing, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3811-8165
David OgilvieMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0270-4672
Frank de VochtPopulation Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3631-627X
Martin WhiteMRC Epidemiology Unit, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7700-2352

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

PubMed holds no abstract for this paper.

Identifiers

PMID40154983
PMCPMC11950994

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.