Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40154527›Full record

ArticleThe lancet. Healthy longevity2025

The prevalence, incidence, and sociodemographic risk factors of HIV among older adults in sub-Saharan Africa (AWI-Gen): a multicentre, longitudinal cohort study.

Luicer A Ingasia Olubayo, Theophilous Mathema, Chodziwadziwa Kabudula, Lisa K Micklesfield, Shukri F Mohamed, Isaac Kisiangani, Cairo B Ntimane, Solomon S Choma, Brian Houle, Scott Hazelhurst and 6 more

Abstract readMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in The lancet. Healthy longevity, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Sex-specific bone architectural deficits among older adults living with HIV: a cross-sectional study from Zimbabwe.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

16 authors.

Luicer A Ingasia OlubayoSydney Brenner Institute for Molecular Bioscience, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa. Electronic address: luicer.olubayo@wits.ac.za.
Theophilous MathemaSydney Brenner Institute for Molecular Bioscience, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Chodziwadziwa KabudulaMedical Research Council-Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Lisa K MicklesfieldSouth African Medical Research Council-Wits Developmental Pathways for Health Research Unit, School of Clinical Medicine, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Shukri F MohamedChronic Disease Management Unit, African Population and Health Research Centre, Nairobi, Kenya.
Isaac KisianganiChronic Disease Management Unit, African Population and Health Research Centre, Nairobi, Kenya; Department of Global Health, Amsterdam UMC, University of Amsterdam, Amsterdam, Netherlands.
Cairo B NtimaneDikgale Mamabolo Mothiba (DIMAMO) Population Health Research Centre, University of Limpopo, Polokwane, South Africa.
Solomon S ChomaDepartment of Pathology and Medical Sciences, University of Limpopo, Polokwane, South Africa.
Brian HouleMedical Research Council-Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Demography, The Australian National University, Canberra, Australia.
Scott HazelhurstSydney Brenner Institute for Molecular Bioscience, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa; School of Electrical & Information Engineering, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Nigel CrowtherDepartment of Chemical Pathology, National Health Laboratory Service, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Stephen TollmanMedical Research Council-Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Furahini D TluwaySydney Brenner Institute for Molecular Bioscience, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
Michele RamsaySydney Brenner Institute for Molecular Bioscience, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
F Xavier Gómez-OlivéMedical Research Council-Wits Rural Public Health and Health Transitions Research Unit (Agincourt), School of Public Health, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa.
AWI-Gen and H3Africa Consortium

Funding

Shared Core: Biobanking, Bioinformatics and Data ManagementU54HG006938 · NHGRI · WITS HEALTH CONSORTIUM (PTY), LTD · PI RAMSAY, MICHELE MICHELE · 2012 to 2022
$12.2M
NHGRI NIH HHS U54 HG006938
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundSub-Saharan Africa's ageing population includes a rising number of adults aged 50 years and older living with HIV. Although antiretroviral therapy (ART) has extended life expectancy, data on HIV incidence and treatment outcomes among older adults remain scarce. To inform targeted public health interventions, we aimed to examine the prevalence and incidence of HIV, as well as sociodemographic determinants associated with HIV acquisition and treatment outcomes, among older adults in sub-Saharan Africa.

methodsAWI-Gen is a multicentre, longitudinal cohort study. We assessed data from random community-based samples of adults aged 40-60 years collected between Aug 5, 2013, and Aug 19, 2016 (wave 1) and of adults aged 40 years and older collected between Jan 24, 2019, and Nov 23, 2022 (wave 2) from Nairobi (Kenya) and from Soweto, Agincourt, and Dikgale Mamabolo Mothiba (South Africa). Sociodemographic data were collected through interviewer-administered questionnaires and structured interviews. The primary outcome was HIV status at both wave 1 and wave 2, classified as either HIV-positive or HIV-negative. We evaluated the prevalence and incidence of HIV, ART coverage, and self-reported HIV awareness and used logistic regression to examine risk factors associated with HIV acquisition and treatment outcomes.

findingsAmong 7919 participants in wave 1 who were recruited and followed up, 6505 (82·1%) participants were aged 40-60 years, of whom 5730 (88·1%) contributed HIV-related data. 3148 (54·9%) participants were women and 2582 (45·1%) were men. In wave 2, 4520 participants from wave 1 were followed up with an additional 579 participants recruited. 5076 (99·5%) participants were aged 40 years and older, of whom 4931 (97·1%) contributed HIV-related data. 2767 (56·1%) participants were women and 2164 (43·9%) were men. Overall, 1271 (22·2%) of 5730 participants in wave 1 and 1073 (21·8%) of 4931 participants in wave 2 were living with HIV, with regional variability (χ

interpretationThe findings emphasise the complex interplay of age, education, gender, and location in shaping HIV risk. Although ART coverage has improved, older adults face considerable barriers to HIV prevention, including educational disparities and gender inequities, particularly in rural settings. Tailored interventions targeting older populations are essential to address these gaps because the risk of HIV acquisition, albeit generally lower than in younger populations, remains noteworthy.

fundingNational Human Genome Research Institute, the National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences of the US National Institutes of Health, and the Department of Science and Innovation, South Africa.

Indexed as

HIV InfectionsAdultAfrica South of the SaharaAgedFemaleHumansIncidenceLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceRisk FactorsSociodemographic Factors

Identifiers

PMID40154527
PMCPMC12012294

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.