Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40152768›Full record

ArticleCancer prevention research (Philadelphia, Pa.)2025

Prediagnostic Serum Immune Marker Levels and Multiple Myeloma: A Prospective Longitudinal Study Using Samples from the Janus Serum Bank in Norway.

Simona Herdenberg, Carl Wibom, Esmeralda J M Krop, Hilde Langseth, Roel Vermeulen, Sophia Harlid, Wendy Yi-Ying Wu, Florentin Späth

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancer prevention research (Philadelphia, Pa.), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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0cells of the map it votes in
0citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

0 citing papers in PubMed.

No citing paper in PubMed yet.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Simona HerdenbergDepartment of Diagnostics and Intervention, Oncology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID 0009-0003-2593-6470
Carl WibomDepartment of Diagnostics and Intervention, Oncology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-8851-2905
Esmeralda J M KropDepartment Population Health Sciences, Institute for Risk Assessment Sciences, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-6009-1181
Hilde LangsethDepartment of Research, Cancer Registry of Norway, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-9446-4855
Roel VermeulenDepartment Population Health Sciences, Institute for Risk Assessment Sciences, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Utrecht University, Utrecht, the Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-4082-8163
Sophia HarlidDepartment of Diagnostics and Intervention, Oncology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0001-8540-6891
Wendy Yi-Ying Wu *Department of Diagnostics and Intervention, Oncology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-6169-5155
Florentin Späth *Department of Diagnostics and Intervention, Oncology, Umeå University, Umeå, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-0711-0830

Funding

BlodcancerforbundetCancerfonden (Swedish Cancer Society) 22 2206 FkCancerforskningsfonden i Norrland AMP 24-1152International Myeloma Society (IMS)Kempestiftelserna (Kempe Foundations) JCSMK22-0,092Regional agreement between Umea University and Region Vasterbotten (ALF) RV-992925Stiftelsen Boldforskningsfonden i UmeaSvenska Läkaresällskapet (SLS) SLS-971631Svenska Sällskapet för Medicinsk Forskning (SSMF) SG-23-0168-B-H-02
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Multiple myeloma is preceded by monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance (MGUS). Only a minority of patients with MGUS will develop multiple myeloma, but precise prediction of progression is impossible using routine clinical biomarkers. Changes in the levels of blood immune markers can help predict disease progression. Data remain inconsistent for some markers of interest such as monocyte chemotactic protein-3 (MCP-3), macrophage inflammatory protein-1 alpha (MIP-1α), fibroblast growth factor-2 (FGF-2), vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF), fractalkine, and transforming growth factor-alpha (TGF-α). We aimed to investigate the associations between the prediagnostic serum levels of these candidate biomarkers and future multiple myeloma risk, as well as to assess marker changes over time. We performed a nested case-control study using prospective samples from the Janus Serum Bank in Norway to investigate associations between multiple myeloma risk and prediagnostic serum levels of MCP-3, MIP-1α, FGF-2, VEGF, fractalkine, and TGF-α. The study included 293 future multiple myeloma cases with serum samples collected 20 years (median) before multiple myeloma diagnosis and 293 matched cancer-free controls. Patients with multiple myeloma had an additional prediagnostic sample collected up to 42 years before diagnosis to identify marker changes over time. Markers with >60% detection rate (MIP-1α, VEGF, and TGF-α) were included in the statistical analysis. We observed no statistically significant associations between multiple myeloma risk and serum levels of MIP-1α, VEGF, or TGF-α in samples collected 20 years before diagnosis. However, TGF-α levels decreased significantly closer to the diagnosis in patients with multiple myeloma (P < 0.001). The decrease in TGF-α levels may reflect subtle microenvironmental changes related to multiple myeloma progression. PREVENTION RELEVANCE: This study observed a decline in TGF-α serum levels closer to multiple myeloma diagnosis, which may aid in predicting multiple myeloma progression and early detection, although validation in other longitudinal cohorts is needed.

Indexed as

Biomarkers, TumorMonoclonal Gammopathy of Undetermined SignificanceMultiple MyelomaAdultAgedAged, 80 and overBlood BanksCase-Control StudiesDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedNorwayBiomarkers, TumorTransforming Growth Factor alphaVascular Endothelial Growth Factor A

Identifiers

PMID40152768
PMCPMC12209824

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.