Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40148997›Full record

ArticleBreast cancer research : BCR2025

Multimodal recurrence risk prediction model for HR+/HER2- early breast cancer following adjuvant chemo-endocrine therapy: integrating pathology image and clinicalpathological features.

Xiaoyan Wu, Yiman Li, Jilong Chen, Jie Chen, Wenchuan Zhang, Xunxi Lu, Xiaorong Zhong, Min Zhu, Yuhao Yi, Hong Bu

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Article in Breast cancer research : BCR, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

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0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  8. Review
  9. Immunohistochemical predictors of local recurrence in breast carcinoma: development and sensitivity validation of an IHC-based risk score.Romanian journal of morphology and embryology = Revue roumaine de morphologie et embryologie
    Article
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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Xiaoyan Wu *Department of Pathology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Yiman Li *College of Computer Science, Sichuan University, Chendu, China.
Jilong ChenCollege of Computer Science, Sichuan University, Chendu, China.
Jie ChenInstitute of Clinical Pathology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, China.
Wenchuan ZhangDepartment of Pathology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Xunxi LuDepartment of Pathology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Xiaorong ZhongInstitute for Breast Health Medicine, Cancer Center, Breast Center, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
Min ZhuCollege of Computer Science, Sichuan University, Chendu, China.
Yuhao YiInstitute of Clinical Pathology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, 610041, China. yuhaoyi@scu.edu.cn.
Hong BuDepartment of Pathology, West China Hospital, Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.

Funding

the 1·3·5 project for disciplines of excellence ZYGD18012the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities, under grant Sichuan University YJ202285
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn HR+/HER2- early breast cancer (EBC) patients, approximately one-third of stage II and 50% of stage III patients experience recurrence, with poor outcomes after recurrence. Given that these patients commonly undergo adjuvant chemo-endocrine therapy (C-ET), accurately predicting the recurrence risk is crucial for optimizing treatment strategies and improving patient outcomes.

methodsWe collected postoperative histopathological slides from 1095 HR+/HER2- EBC who received C-ET and were followed for more than five years at West China Hospital, Sichuan University. Two deep learning pipelines were developed and validated: ACMIL-based and CLAM-based. Both pipelines, designed to predict recurrence risk post-treatment, were based on pretrained feature encoders and multi-instance learning with attention mechanisms. Model performance was evaluated using a five-fold cross-validation approach and externally validated on HR+/HER2- EBC patients from the TCGA cohort.

resultsBoth ACMIL-based and CLAM-based pipelines performed well in predicting recurrence risk, with UNI-ACMIL demonstrating superior performance across multiple metrics. The average area under the curve (AUC) for the UNI-ACMIL pipeline in the five-fold cross-validation test set was 0.86 ± 0.02, and 0.80 ± 0.04 in the TCGA cohort. In the five-fold cross-validation test sets, effectively stratified patients into high-risk and low-risk groups, demonstrating significant prognostic differences. Hazard ratios for recurrence-free survival (RFS) ranged from 5.32 (95% CI 1.86-15.12) to 15.16 (95% CI 3.61-63.56). Moreover, among six different multimodal recurrence risk models, the WSI-based risk score was identified as the most significant contributor.

conclusionOur multimodal recurrence risk prediction model is a practical and reliable tool that enhances the predictive power of existing systems relying solely on clinicopathological parameters. It offers improved recurrence risk prediction for HR+/HER2- EBC patients following adjuvant C-ET, supporting personalized treatment and better patient outcomes.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalAdultAgedAntineoplastic Agents, HormonalBiomarkers, TumorChemotherapy, AdjuvantDeep LearningErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesFemaleHumansMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingPrognosisReceptors, EstrogenReceptors, ProgesteroneAntineoplastic Agents, HormonalBiomarkers, TumorERBB2 protein, humanErb-b2 Receptor Tyrosine KinasesReceptors, EstrogenReceptors, ProgesteroneAdjuvant chemo-endocrine therapyDeep learning pipelinesHR+/HER2- early breast cancerPathology imageRecurrence risk

Identifiers

PMID40148997
PMCPMC11951786

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.