Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40148464›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2025

Constructing an early warning model for elderly sepsis patients based on machine learning.

Xuejie Ma, Yaoqiong Mai, Yin Ma, Xiaowei Ma

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Xuejie MaIntensive Care Unit, Cardiocerebral Vascular Disease Hospital, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, 750003, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China.
Yaoqiong MaiIntensive Care Unit, Cardiocerebral Vascular Disease Hospital, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, 750003, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China.
Yin MaIntensive Care Unit, Cardiocerebral Vascular Disease Hospital, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, 750003, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China.
Xiaowei MaIntensive Care Unit, Cardiocerebral Vascular Disease Hospital, General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University, Yinchuan, 750003, Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region, China. maxiaowei@nxmu.edu.cn.

Funding

science and technology department of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region 2022BEG02045
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Sepsis is a serious threat to human life. Early prediction of high-risk populations for sepsis is necessary especially in elderly patients. Artificial intelligence shows benefits in early warning. The aim of the study was to construct an early machine warning model for elderly sepsis patients and evaluate its performance. We collected elderly patients from General Hospital of Ningxia Medical University emergency department and intensive care unit from 01 January 2021 to 01 August 2023. The clinical data was divided into a training set and a test set. A total of 2976 patients and 12 features were screened. We used 8 machine learning models to build the warning model. In conclusion, we developed a model based on XGBoost with an AUROC of 0.971, AUPRC of 0.862, accuracy of 0.95, specificity of 0.964 and F1 score of 0.776. Of all the features, baseline APTT played the most important role, followed by baseline lymphocyte count. Higher level of baseline APTT and lower level of baseline lymphocyte count may indicate higher risk of sepsis occurrence. We developed a high-performance early warning model for sepsis in old age based on machine learning in order to facilitate early treatment but also need further external validation.

Indexed as

Early Warning ScoreMachine LearningSepsisAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansIntensive Care UnitsMaleROC CurveEarly warning modelMachine learning (ML)SepsisXGBoost

Identifiers

PMID40148464
PMCPMC11950175

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.