Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40145857›Full record

ArticleBlood2025

Use of machine learning techniques to predict poor survival after hematopoietic cell transplantation for myelofibrosis.

Juan Carlos Hernández-Boluda, Adrián Mosquera-Orgueira, Luuk Gras, Linda Koster, Joe Tuffnell, Nicolaus Kröger, Massimiliano Gambella, Thomas Schroeder, Marie Robin, Katja Sockel and 20 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Blood, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

30 authors.

Juan Carlos Hernández-BoludaHematology Department, Hospital Clínico Universitario, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria del Hospital Clínico de Valencia, University of Valencia, Valencia, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-4289-3113
Adrián Mosquera-OrgueiraHematology Department. University Hospital of Santiago de Compostela, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-4838-6750
Luuk GrasEuropean Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation Leiden Study Unit, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Linda KosterEuropean Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation Leiden Study Unit, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Joe TuffnellEuropean Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation Leiden Study Unit, Leiden, The Netherlands.
Nicolaus KrögerHematology Department, University Medical Center Hamburg-Eppendorf, Hamburg, Germany.ORCID 0000-0001-5103-9966
Massimiliano GambellaEmatologia e Terapie Cellulari, IRCCS Ospedale Policlinico San Martino, Genova, Italy.
Thomas SchroederHematology Department, University Hospital Essen, Duesseldorf, Germany.
Marie RobinHematology Department, Saint-Louis Hospital, Bone Marrow Transplantation Unit, Paris, France.ORCID 0000-0003-1388-9876
Katja SockelHematology Department, University Hospital Technische Universität Dresden, Dresden, Germany.
Jakob PasswegHematology Department, University Hospital Basel, Basel, Switzerland.ORCID 0000-0001-7092-3351
Igor Wolfgang BlauMedizinische Klinik m. S. Hämatologie, Onkologie und Tumorimmunologie, Berlin, Germany.
Ibrahim Yakoub-AghaHematology Department, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire de Lille, INSERM U1286, Infinite, Lille, France.ORCID 0000-0003-4524-8782
Ruben Van DijckHematology Department, Erasmus MC Cancer Institute, Rotterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0003-4748-7648
Mattias StelljesHematology Department, University of Muenster, Muenster, Germany.ORCID 0000-0002-9331-5145
Henrik SengeloevHematology Department, Rigshospitalet, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Jan VydraInstitute of Hematology and Blood Transfusion, Prague, Czech Republic.ORCID 0000-0002-4274-3895
Uwe PlatzbeckerHematology Department, Medical Clinic and Policlinic, Leipzig, Germany.ORCID 0000-0003-1863-3239
Moniek de WitteHematology Department, University Medical Centre, Utrecht, The Netherlands.
Frédéric BaronHematology Department, University of Liege, Liege, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-2944-3812
Kristina CarlsonHematology Department, University Hospital Uppsala, Uppsala, Sweden.ORCID 0000-0002-0303-1350
Javier RojasHematology Department. University Hospital of Santiago de Compostela, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.
Carlos Pérez MíguezHematology Department. University Hospital of Santiago de Compostela, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0009-0004-7972-9431
Davide CrucittiHematology Department. University Hospital of Santiago de Compostela, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0009-0006-9458-9793
Kavita RajHematology Department, University College London Hospitals National Health Service Trust, London, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0002-8258-354X
Joanna Drozd-SokolowskaHematology Department, Central Clinical Hospital, The Medical University of Warsaw, Warsaw, Poland.ORCID 0000-0002-4562-6264
Giorgia BattipagliaHematology Department, Federico II University of Naples, Naples, Italy.ORCID 0000-0002-5201-1786
Nicola PolverelliUnit of Bone Marrow Transplantation, Division of Hematology, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, Pavia, Italy.ORCID 0000-0001-6297-9697
Tomasz CzerwHematology Department, Maria Skłodowska-Curie National Research Institute of Oncology, Gliwice, Poland.ORCID 0000-0003-3108-4035
Donal P McLornanHematology Department, University College London Hospitals National Health Service Trust, London, United Kingdom.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

abstractWith the incorporation of effective therapies for myelofibrosis (MF), accurately predicting outcomes after allogeneic hematopoietic cell transplantation (allo-HCT) is crucial for determining the optimal timing for this procedure. Using data from 5183 patients with MF who underwent first allo-HCT between 2005 and 2020 at European Society for Blood and Marrow Transplantation centers, we examined different machine learning (ML) models to predict overall survival after transplant. The cohort was divided into a training set (75%) and a test set (25%) for model validation. A random survival forests (RSF) model was developed based on 10 variables: patient age, comorbidity index, performance status, blood blasts, hemoglobin, leukocytes, platelets, donor type, conditioning intensity, and graft-versus-host disease prophylaxis. Its performance was compared with a 4-level Cox regression-based score and other ML-based models derived from the same data set, and with the Center for International Blood and Marrow Transplant Research score. The RSF outperformed all comparators, achieving better concordance indices across both primary and postessential thrombocythemia/polycythemia vera MF subgroups. The robustness and generalizability of the RSF model was confirmed by Akaike information criterion and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic area under the curve metrics in both sets. Although all models were prognostic for nonrelapse mortality, the RSF provided better curve separation, effectively identifying a high-risk group comprising 25% of patients. In conclusion, ML enhances risk stratification in patients with MF undergoing allo-HCT, paving the way for personalized medicine. A web application (https://gemfin.click/ebmt) based on the RSF model offers a practical tool to identify patients at high risk for poor transplantation outcomes, supporting informed treatment decisions and advancing individualized care.

Indexed as

Hematopoietic Stem Cell TransplantationMachine LearningPrimary MyelofibrosisAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrognosisSurvival Rate

Identifiers

PMID40145857
PMCPMC12824666

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.