Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40145606›Full record

ArticleHealth services research2025

Concordance Indices for Risk Scores With Policy Evaluations.

Nicholas Hartman

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Health services research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

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2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Nicholas HartmanDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8475-1973

Funding

HRSA HHS HHSH250-2019-00001C
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo demonstrate the differences between concordance index (C-index) methodologies and clarify the appropriate usage for risk score evaluations in health services applications. STUDY SETTING AND

designWe performed a methodological comparison of C-index metrics and illustrated the consequences of these differences through a study of liver failure patients. DATA SOURCES AND ANALYTIC SAMPLE: We analyzed secondary adult liver transplant registry data from the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network (OPTN), including all waitlist registrations from 2002 to 2022. PRINCIPAL

findingsThe recommended concordance metric based on Gerds' weighting was higher for the original model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) than Harrell's C-Index, Uno's C-Index, and naïve binary outcome metrics (0.864 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.840, 0.888] versus 0.854 [95% CI: 0.844, 0.864], 0.832 [95% CI: 0.819, 0.844], and 0.727 [95% CI: 0.715, 0.740]), and it did not increase after the latest MELD formula update (0.874 [95% CI: 0.859, 0.889] to 0.869 [95% CI: 0.853, 0.885]).

conclusionsThe concordance indices that are often used in health services applications have important deficiencies under policy-related dependent censoring, and researchers must apply appropriate weighting schemes to avoid bias. The findings uncover new interpretations of past evaluation results that have shaped national liver transplant policies.

Indexed as

End Stage Liver DiseaseHealth PolicyLiver TransplantationAdultFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedRegistriesRisk AssessmentTissue and Organ ProcurementWaiting Listsconcordance indexdependent censoringinverse probability of censoring weightingliver transplantationmodel for end stage liver diseasepolicy evaluationrisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID40145606
PMCPMC12636256

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.