ArticleBMC oral health2025
Epidemiological trends and age-period-cohort effects on periodontal diseases incidence across the BRICS from 1992 to 2021.
Article in BMC oral health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.
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Who cites it
4 citing papers in PubMed.
- The Burden and Projections for 2036 of Periodontal Diseases in Asia From 1990 to 2021.International dental journal · 2026Article
- Sociodemographic Determinants and Temporal Trends in Periodontal Conditions in Brazil: A Population-Based Cross-Sectional Study.International journal of dentistry · 2026Article
- Ectopic Pregnancy Mortality Trends in BRICS: Age-Period-Cohort Analysis of Global Burden Disease 2021 Data and 2030 Forecast.Clinical epidemiology · 2026Article
- Burden and forecast of severe periodontitis in BRICS-Plus nations: trends from 1990 to 2040.International journal for equity in health · 2025Article
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6 authors.
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Abstract
backgroundPeriodontal diseases are prevalent oral conditions, particularly burdensome in developing countries. This study examines global and BRICS countries' changing trends in periodontal diseases incidence from 1992 to 2021, focusing on associations with age, period, and cohort effects. MATERIALS AND
methodsA cross-sectional burden of disease study was conducted. Data on the total population and periodontal diseases cases, all-age incidence rate, age-standardized incidence rate, and relative change in periodontal diseases incidence from 1992 to 2021 within BRICS were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease study (GBD) 2021. Furthermore, the Age-Period-Cohort (APC) model with an intrinsic estimator (IE) algorithm was employed to assess the effects of net drift, local drift, age, period, and cohort on the incidence rates of periodontal diseases over specific time periods.
resultsGlobally, the new cases of periodontal diseases in 2021 were reported at 8961 thousand (95% uncertainty intervals: 7907, 10101), reflecting a 71.21% increase compared to 1992. In 2021, the age-standardized incidence rate of periodontal diseases across the BRICS countries ranged from 600.50 (95% uncertainty intervals: 481.27, 763.54) per 100,000 population in South Africa to 1268.96 (95% uncertainty intervals: 1119.16, 1409.94) per 100,000 population in India. The age distribution of periodontal diseases cases was relatively stable globally and among BRICS countries from 1992 to 2021. Countries exhibited similar age-effect patterns, with increasing risk with increasing age, and varying period and cohort effects, indicative of differential control measures and temporal incidence trends.
conclusionsBrazil, India, and China experienced an increasing trend in the age-standardized incidence rates of periodontal diseases from 1992 to 2021, in contrast to the declining trends observed in the Russian Federation and South Africa. Furthermore, the APC analysis indicates the intricate dynamics of age, period, and cohort influences on periodontal diseases incidence. Distinct national trajectories, shaped by varying socioeconomic, cultural, and historical frameworks, highlight that public health initiatives must be meticulously customized to mitigate and control the periodontal diseases burden across diverse settings.
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