Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40140384›Full record

ArticleNature communications2025

A pronounced decline in northern vegetation resistance to flash droughts from 2001 to 2022.

Miao Zhang, Xing Yuan, Zhenzhong Zeng, Ming Pan, Peili Wu, Jingfeng Xiao, Trevor F Keenan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 13 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
13citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

13 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. A potential overestimation of COProceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Space-use by feral cattle and horses shapes vegetation structure in a trophic rewilding area.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2026
    Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Miao ZhangSchool of Hydrology and Water Resources, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China.
Xing YuanSchool of Hydrology and Water Resources, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China. xyuan2@mail.iap.ac.cn.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6983-7368
Zhenzhong ZengSchool of Environmental Science and Engineering, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6851-2756
Ming PanCenter for Western Weather and Water Extremes, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, USA.
Peili WuMet Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-7908-7062
Jingfeng XiaoEarth Systems Research Center, Institute for the Study of Earth, Oceans, and Space, University of New Hampshire, Durham, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0622-6903
Trevor F KeenanDepartment of Environmental Science, Policy and Management, University of California, Berkeley, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3347-0258

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 42205030National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) 42330604National Natural Science Foundation of China (National Science Foundation of China) U22A20556
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Climate change has led to the transition of droughts into rapid and intensified phenomena known as flash droughts, presenting considerable challenges for risk management, particularly concerning their impact on ecosystem productivity. Quantifying the ecosystem's capacity to maintain productivity during flash droughts, referred to as ecosystem resistance, is crucial to assess drought impacts. However, it remains uncertain how the resistance of ecosystem productivity to flash drought changes over time. Here we show that vegetation resistance to flash droughts declines by up to 27% (±5%) over the Northern Hemisphere hotspots during 2001-2022, including eastern Asia, western North America, and northern Europe. The notable decline in vegetation resistance is mainly attributed to increased vapour pressure deficit and temperature, and enhanced vegetation structural sensitivity to water availability. Flash droughts pose higher ecological risks than slowly-developing droughts during the growing seasons, where ecosystem productivity experiences faster decline rates with a shorter response time. Our results underscore the limited ecosystem capacity to resist flash droughts under climate change.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeDroughtsEcosystemEuropeNorth AmericaSeasonsTemperatureWaterWater

Identifiers

PMID40140384
PMCPMC11947216

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.