Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40139747›Full record

Observational studyGut2025

Combining faecal haemoglobin, iron deficiency anaemia status and age can improve colorectal cancer risk prediction in patients attending primary care with bowel symptoms: a retrospective observational study.

Jayne Digby, Jennifer Nobes, Judith A Strachan, Rebecca McCann, Christopher Hall, Callum G Fraser, Craig Mowat

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in Gut, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Risk Stratification to Optimize Colorectal Cancer Screening: Development and Validation of a Decision-Tree Model for Colonoscopy Prioritization.Digestive endoscopy : official journal of the Japan Gastroenterological Endoscopy Society · 2026
    Article
  2. Observational
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Jayne DigbyCentre for Research into Cancer Prevention and Screening, University of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland, UK.
Jennifer NobesDivision of Respiratory Medicine and Gastroenterology, University of Dundee, Dundee, UK.
Judith A StrachanDepartment of Blood Sciences, NHS Tayside, Dundee, UK.
Rebecca McCannDepartment of Blood Sciences, NHS Tayside, Dundee, UK.
Christopher HallHealth Informatics Centre, University of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland, UK.
Callum G FraserCentre for Research into Cancer Prevention and Screening, University of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland, UK.
Craig MowatDivision of Respiratory Medicine and Gastroenterology, University of Dundee, Dundee, UK cmowat@dundee.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5021-415X

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIn primary care, National Institute for Health and Care Excellence suspected cancer guidelines recommend measuring faecal haemoglobin (f-Hb) if colorectal cancer (CRC) is suspected, with a referral threshold of ≥10 µg Hb/g faeces defining a 3% risk, but most have a normal colonoscopy.

objectiveExamine whether combining f-Hb, patient age and iron-deficient anaemia (IDA) status improves risk prediction.

designRetrospective single-centre observational study of symptomatic patients who submitted contemporaneous f-Hb and full blood count (FBC) samples between December 2015 and December 2019. f-Hb was estimated using HM-JACKarc (Hitachi Chemical Diagnostics Systems). Patients were categorised by presence/absence of IDA. Incident CRC was identified via record linkage to the Scottish Cancer Registry. Kaplan-Meier estimates determined cumulative 1-year CRC risk by patient age, f-Hb result and presence of IDA.

resultsOf 34 647 valid f-Hb results retrieved; 7889 (22.8%) had f-Hb≥10 µg Hb/g. Of these, 33 285 samples (96.1%) had associated FBC results of which 3000 (9.0%) had IDA. Overall, 571 incident CRC were recorded. The risk of CRC breached 3% in patients with f-Hb>99 µg Hb/g aged >40 years and reached 30% (19.4-41.0) with f-Hb>99 µg Hb/g in age >55 years plus IDA. 2029 f-Hb results (25.7%) were in the 10-19 µg Hb/g range of which 27 (1.3%) had CRC. In this subgroup, CRC risk did not exceed 3% in patients <85 years and no IDA.

conclusionCombining f-Hb, patient age and IDA status improves CRC risk prediction, identifies a low-risk group with f-Hb<20 µg Hb/g and no IDA and could inform revised referral guidance.

Indexed as

Anemia, Iron-DeficiencyColorectal NeoplasmsFecesHemoglobinsAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsEarly Detection of CancerFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrimary Health CareRetrospective StudiesRisk AssessmentHemoglobinsAGEINGCOLORECTAL CANCERPRIMARY CARE

Identifiers

PMID40139747
PMCPMC12418543

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.