Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40139220›Full record

ArticleAge and ageing2025

Fall risk stratification in older adults: low and not-at-risk status still associated with falls and injuries.

Manuel Montero-Odasso, Frederico Pieruccini-Faria, Surim Son, Daniela Cristina Carvalho de Abreu, Susan Hunter, Jia Qi Liu, Marissa Moore, Areej Hezam, Nathalie van der Velde, Tahir Masud and 3 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Age and ageing, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Observational
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors.

Manuel Montero-OdassoWestern University, Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, Department of Medicine, Division of Geriatric Medicine, London, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-5796-2361
Frederico Pieruccini-FariaWestern University, Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, Department of Medicine, Division of Geriatric Medicine, London, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-7659-4285
Surim SonWestern University, Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, London, Ontario, Canada.
Daniela Cristina Carvalho de AbreuParkwood Institute, Gait and Brain Laboratory, London, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0003-4681-2613
Susan HunterWestern University, Faculty of Health Sciences, School of Physiotherapy, London, Ontario, Canada.
Jia Qi LiuParkwood Institute, Gait and Brain Laboratory, London, Ontario, Canada.
Marissa MooreParkwood Institute, Gait and Brain Laboratory, London, Ontario, Canada.
Areej HezamParkwood Institute, Gait and Brain Laboratory, London, Ontario, Canada.
Nathalie van der VeldeAmsterdam University Medical Centers, location Academic Medical Center, Internal Medicine and Geriatrics, University of Amsterdam, Meibergdreef 9, North Holland, 1105 AZ, Amsterdam, The Netherlands.ORCID 0000-0002-6477-6209
Tahir MasudNottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust, Department of Geriatric Medicine, Nottingham, United Kingdom.ORCID 0000-0003-1061-2898
Jesper RygOdense Universitetshospital, Department of Geriatric Medicine, Odense, Denmark.ORCID 0000-0002-8641-3062
Mirko PetrovicSection of Geriatrics, Department of Internal Medicine and Paediatrics, Ghent University, Corneel Heymanslaan 10, Ghent, Belgium.ORCID 0000-0002-7506-8646
Mark SpeechleyWestern University, Schulich School of Medicine and Dentistry, Department of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, London, Ontario, Canada.ORCID 0000-0002-7563-8709

Funding

Canadian Consortium on Neurodegeneration in Aging FRN CNA 137794Canadian Institute of Health and Research MOP 211220, PJT 153100Canadian Institutes for Health and Research MOP211220Department of Medicine Program of Experimental Medicine (POEM) Research 768915Weston Family Foundation BH210118
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundFalls guidelines recommendations for individuals classified as 'not-at-risk' range from no further actions to offering education and exercises. However, there is a scarcity of prospective studies analysing the rate of falls and injuries in this not-at-risk group to inform recommendations.

objectiveTo prospectively estimate the rate of falls and injuries in older adults considered 'not-at-risk' for falls.

designProspective cohort study.

settingGeriatric Medicine Clinics. SUBJECTS: Community-dwelling older adults aged 65 and older.

methodsFalls risk stratification was operationalised by adapting the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's Stopping Elderly Accidents, Deaths and Injuries algorithm. Associations of risk strata (screened not-at-risk vs. at-risk) with incident falls and injuries were estimated using incidence rate ratios [adjusted incident rate ratio (aIRR), Poisson regression model]. Associations between slow gait speed (<1 m/s) and injurious falls were estimated by risk strata using hazard ratios (adjusted hazard ratio, Cox and Poisson regression model).

resultsOf 403 participants, 64% of at-risk individuals fell during the follow-up compared to 41.3% in the not-at-risk group, whilst injurious falls were reported by 63.2% of the not-at-risk group and by 59.7% of the at-risk group. At-risk individuals had a higher rate of falls (aIRR = 3.91, 95% CI: 3.30-4.64, P < .001) but a similar rate of injurious falls as the not-at-risk individuals (aIRR = 1.26, 95% CI: 0.93-1.71; P = .11). Not-at-risk individuals with slow gait speed sustained injurious falls at twice the rate (aIRR = 1.83, 95% CI: 1.12-3.91, P = .008) than those without slow gait speed.

conclusionsBeing screened as not-at-risk for falls does not mean no risk at all. Routinely and universally assessing gait speed could identify not-at-risk individuals who are likely to sustain injuries after a fall and could benefit from primary prevention.

Indexed as

Accidental FallsWounds and InjuriesAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsFemaleGeriatric AssessmentHumansIncidenceIndependent LivingMaleProspective StudiesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsWalking Speedfallsgait speedmobilityolder adultsolder peoplerisk stratification

Identifiers

PMID40139220
PMCPMC11942794

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.