Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40131699›Full record

Observational studyEuropean geriatric medicine2025

Predictive value of different physical performance assessment methods for falls in older adults: a 3-year longitudinal study in China.

Fei Lu, Xiaohong Liu, Jiaojiao Li, Xiaohong Sun, Shan Jiang

Abstract readObservational Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Observational study in European geriatric medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Fei LuDepartment of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No. 1 Shuai Fu Yuan, Dong Cheng District, Beijing, 100730, China.
Xiaohong LiuDepartment of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No. 1 Shuai Fu Yuan, Dong Cheng District, Beijing, 100730, China. xhliu41@sina.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9302-3310
Jiaojiao LiDepartment of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No. 1 Shuai Fu Yuan, Dong Cheng District, Beijing, 100730, China.
Xiaohong SunDepartment of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No. 1 Shuai Fu Yuan, Dong Cheng District, Beijing, 100730, China. sunxiaoh2010@126.com.
Shan JiangDepartment of Geriatrics, Peking Union Medical College, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, No. 1 Shuai Fu Yuan, Dong Cheng District, Beijing, 100730, China.

Funding

Innovative Research Team of High-level Local University in Shanghai 2022-PUMCH-B-132
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeThis study aimed to analyze the predictive value of different physical performances including short physical performance battery (SPPB), time-up and go test (TUGT), gait speed (GS), five times sit-to-stand test (FTSST) and handgrip strength (HGS) on the incidence of falls among community-dwelling older adults and to propose the cut-off values for predicting the incidence of falls.

methodsThis 3-year longitudinal observational study continuously recruited community-dwelling older adults in 2018, assessing baseline physical performances and recording fall incidence (at least one fall) after 3 years.

resultsOf the 215 older adults (mean age, 84.0 ± 4.4 years; 123 [57.2%] females) included in this study, 98 (45.6%) fell. After adjusting for age, sex, and comorbidity, decreased SPPB score (odds ratio [OR] = 0.84, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75-0.94), increased TUGT time (OR = 1.07, 95% CI, 1.03-1.12), and lower GS (OR = 0.11, 95% CI, 0.03-0.37) were significantly associated with higher risk of fall and had similar predictive values, while the FTSST and HGS were not. To predict the incidence of falls, the areas under the curve for SPPB, TUGT, and GS were 0.71 (95% CI: 0.65-0.77), 0.73 (95% CI: 0.67-0.79), and 0.71 (95% CI: 0.64-0.77), whereas the cut-offs were 7 points, 14.8 s, and 0.75 m/s, according to the Youden index, respectively.

conclusionAs physical performance indicators, SPPB, TUGT, and GS may be more effective in assessing fall risk, and the threshold values proposed in this study can be used as a reference for stratified fall risk management among community-dwelling older residents.

Indexed as

Accidental FallsExercise TestGeriatric AssessmentPhysical Functional PerformanceAgedAged, 80 and overChinaFemaleHand StrengthHumansIncidenceIndependent LivingLongitudinal StudiesMalePredictive Value of TestsRisk AssessmentCommunity-dwelling older adultsFallPhysical performance

Identifiers

PMID40131699

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.