Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40128880›Full record

ArticleBiomarker research2025

Global, regional and national burden of rheumatoid arthritis from 1990 to 2021, with projections of incidence to 2050: a systematic and comprehensive analysis of the Global Burden of Disease study 2021.

Yingnan Ma, Haiyan Chen, Wenhua Lv, Siyu Wei, Yuping Zou, Ruilin Li, Jiacheng Wang, Wei She, Linna Yuan, Junxian Tao and 12 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Biomarker research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Review
  17. Review
  18. Article
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

22 authors.

Yingnan Ma *College of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Haiyan Chen *College of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Wenhua Lv *College of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Siyu Wei *College of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Yuping Zou *College of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Ruilin LiCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Jiacheng WangCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Wei SheCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Linna YuanCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Junxian TaoCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Xuying GuoCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Shuo BiCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Hongsheng TianCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Ye MaCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Hongmei SunCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Chen SunCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Jing XuFaculty of Information Engineering and Automation, Kunming University of Science and Technology, Kunming, China.
Yu DongCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Jingxuan KangCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China.
Hongchao LvCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China. hongchaolyu@hrbmu.edu.cn.
Mingming ZhangCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China. zhangmingming@hrbmu.edu.cn.
Yongshuai JiangCollege of Bioinformatics Science and Technology, Harbin Medical University, 194 Xuefu Road, Nangang District Heilongjiang Province, Harbin, China. jiangyongshuai@hrbmu.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo provide insights into rheumatoid arthritis (RA) epidemiological trends, including prevalence, incidence, disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), corresponding average annual percentage change (AAPC), gender disparities, regional variations, age-specific rates, socio-economic correlations, risk factors, and future projections.

methodsData were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2021. AAPC was calculated by joinpoint regression and two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis was performed to verify the causal relationship between the smoking factor and RA. The future incidence trend was predicted by the Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model.

resultsGlobal age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) increased significantly while age-standardized DALYs rate (ASDR) decreased from 1990 to 2021. Regional variations were pronounced, with Andean Latin America reporting the highest burden. Females consistently exhibited higher age-standardized rate (ASR) across all metrics. Age-specific prevalence, incidence, and DALYs rates peaked at different age groups, highlighting complex demographic dynamics. Socio-demographic index (SDI) analysis demonstrated a positive correlation between RA burden and socio-economic development. The two-sample MR analysis confirmed a causal effect between smoking and RA. From 2022 to 2050, the ASIR will increase moderately.

conclusionsThe study underscores the escalating burden of RA globally, emphasizing the need for healthcare providers to be aware of the effects of aging populations and other societal factors on the risk of developing RA, and to develop targeted interventions, including smoking cessation programs, age- and gender-appropriate healthcare, and early diagnosis strategies.

Indexed as

Autoimmune diseaseGlobal burden of diseasePublic healthRheumatoid arthritis

Identifiers

PMID40128880
PMCPMC11931880

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.