Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40128765›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2025

Global, regional, and national burden of infective endocarditis from 2010 to 2021 and predictions for the next five years: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021.

Liyu Lin, Jiongbo Xu, Yuanru Chai, Wei Wu

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

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  4. Choice of antimicrobial therapy for infective endocarditis caused by viridans streptococci: an international practice survey.European journal of clinical microbiology & infectious diseases : official publication of the European Society of Clinical Microbiology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Liyu Lin *The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China.
Jiongbo Xu *The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China.
Yuanru ChaiThe First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China.
Wei WuThe First Affiliated Hospital of Guangzhou University of Chinese Medicine, Guangzhou, China. zywuwei@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo comprehensively evaluate the global, regional, and national burden of infective endocarditis (IE) from 2010 to 2021, and to project future trends.

methodsThis study utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021. Statistical methods, including joinpoint regression and the auto-regressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model, were employed to analyze the prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of IE, stratified by gender, age, and socio-demographic index (SDI).

resultFrom 2010 to 2021, the global prevalence of IE increased by 40.1%, with a total of 421,667 cases reported in 2021. The age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) rose from 4.7 per 100,000 to 5.3 per 100,000. Although the number of deaths increased by 23.01% and DALYs rose by 13.26%, both the age-standardized death rate (ASDR) and the age-standardized DALYs rate exhibited slight declines. Significant regional disparities in ASPR were observed, with an overall increase correlated with higher SDI levels. Joinpoint regression analysis revealed that the average annual percentage change (AAPC) in ASPR, ASDR, and age-standardized DALYs rate during this period was 0.8 (0.6, 1.0), -1.1 (-1.7, -0.5), and -1.3 (-1.9, -0.7), respectively. Notably, predictions from the ARIMA model indicate that the ASPR for men is expected to continue rising over the next five years, while a decline is anticipated for women; however, both genders are projected to experience a decrease in ASDR.

conclusionOver the past decade, the ASPR of IE has been on a gradual increase, while the ASDR and the age-standardized DALY rate have slightly decreased. It is indicated that some progress has been achieved in the global disease management and treatment effectiveness of IE. Based on the increasing prevalence rate and the relatively high mortality rate, the burden of IE globally will still remain a major public health challenge in the future.

Indexed as

EndocarditisGlobal Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthAdolescentAdultAgedDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleForecastingHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceYoung AdultEpidemiologyGlobal Burden of Disease StudyInfective endocarditisJoinpoint regressionSocio-demographic Index

Identifiers

PMID40128765
PMCPMC11934598

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.