Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40128710›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2025

Influential drivers of the cost-effectiveness of respiratory syncytial virus vaccination in European older adults: a multi-country analysis.

Xiao Li, Lander Willem, Caroline Klint Johannesen, Arantxa Urchueguía-Fornes, Toni Lehtonen, Richard Osei-Yeboah, Heini Salo, Alejandro Orrico-Sánchez, Javier Díez-Domingo, Mark Jit and 4 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
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  8. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors.

Xiao LiCentre for Health Economics Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine & Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium. xiao.li@uantwerpen.be.
Lander WillemCentre for Health Economics Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine & Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.
Caroline Klint JohannesenThe Department of Clinical Research, North Zealand Hospital, Hillerød, Denmark.
Arantxa Urchueguía-FornesVaccine Research Department, Foundation for the Promotion of Health and Biomedical Research in the Valencian Region, FISABIO-Public-Health, Valencia, Spain.
Toni LehtonenFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Richard Osei-YeboahCentre for Global Health, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Heini SaloFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Alejandro Orrico-SánchezVaccine Research Department, Foundation for the Promotion of Health and Biomedical Research in the Valencian Region, FISABIO-Public-Health, Valencia, Spain.
Javier Díez-DomingoVaccine Research Department, Foundation for the Promotion of Health and Biomedical Research in the Valencian Region, FISABIO-Public-Health, Valencia, Spain.
Mark JitDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology & Dynamics, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.
for PROMISE investigators
Joke BilckeCentre for Health Economics Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine & Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.
Harish NairCentre for Global Health, The University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK.
Philippe BeutelsCentre for Health Economics Research and Modelling Infectious Diseases (CHERMID), Vaccine & Infectious Disease Institute, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium.

Funding

Innovative Medicines Initiative 2 Joint Undertaking (JU) 101034339NIHR Health Protection Research Units NIHR200908 and NIHR200929
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe aimed to identify influential drivers of the cost-effectiveness of older adult respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) vaccination in Denmark, Finland, the Netherlands and Valencia-Spain.

methodsA static multi-cohort model was parameterised using country- and age-specific hospitalisations using three approaches: (A) the International Classification of Diseases (ICD)-coded hospitalisations, (B) laboratory RSV-confirmed hospitalisations and (C) time-series modelling (TSM). Plausible hypothetical RSV vaccine characteristics were derived from two protein subunit vaccines for adults aged ≥60 years. A full incremental analysis was conducted by comparing three RSV vaccination strategies: (1) in adults aged ≥60 years ("60y+"); (2) in adults aged ≥65 years ("65y+"); (3) in adults aged ≥75 years ("75y+") to "no intervention" and to each other. Both costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) were discounted at country-specific discount rates and the analysis was conducted from both the healthcare payers' and societal perspectives. Value of information, probabilistic sensitivity and scenario analyses identified influential drivers.

resultsBesides vaccine price, the hospitalisation estimates were most influential: (A) Using adjusted RSV-ICD-coded hospitalisations at a vaccine price of €150 per dose, no intervention was cost-effective up to willingness-to-pay (WTP) values of €150,000 per QALY gained in Denmark and the Netherlands, and up to €124,000 per QALY gained in Finland. (B) Using the adjusted RSV-confirmed dataset, the findings were consistent in Denmark and comparable in Finland. In Spain-Valencia, the 75y+ strategy became cost-effective at WTP >€55,000. (C) Using TSM-based estimates, the 75y+ strategy was cost-effective at WTP >€45,000, >€101,000, >€41,000 and >€114,000 in Denmark, Finland, the Netherlands and Spain-Valencia, respectively. Sensitivity analyses showed that the (in-hospital) case fatality ratio and the specification of its age dependency were both influential. Duration of protection was found more influential than a variety of plausible waning patterns over the duration of protection.

conclusionsData gaps and uncertainties on the RSV-related burden in older adults persist and influence the cost-effectiveness of RSV vaccination. More refined age- and country-specific data on the RSV attributable burden are crucial to aid decision making.

Indexed as

Respiratory Syncytial Virus InfectionsRespiratory Syncytial Virus VaccinesVaccinationAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesCost-Benefit AnalysisEuropeFemaleHospitalizationHumansMaleMiddle AgedQuality-Adjusted Life YearsRespiratory Syncytial Virus VaccinesAgeing populationCost-effectiveness analysisCost-utility analysisEconomic evaluationPolicyRespiratoryRSVUncertaintyVaccination

Identifiers

PMID40128710
PMCPMC11934489

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.