Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40128452›Full record

ArticleNature ecology & evolution2025

Global hotspots of butterfly diversity are threatened in a warming world.

Stefan Pinkert, Nina Farwig, Akito Y Kawahara, Walter Jetz

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Nature ecology & evolution, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Stefan PinkertDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA. StefanPinkert@posteo.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8348-2337
Nina FarwigUniversity of Marburg, Department of Biology, Conservation Ecology, Marburg, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0554-5128
Akito Y KawaharaMcGuire Center for Lepidoptera, Florida Museum of Natural History, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3724-4610
Walter JetzDepartment of Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Yale University, New Haven, CT, USA. walter.jetz@yale.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1971-7277

Funding

Gordon and Betty Moore Foundation (Gordon E. and Betty I. Moore Foundation) GBMF8137National Science Foundation (NSF) DEB-1541500
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Insects are in decline and threatened by climate change, yet lack of globally comprehensive information limits the understanding and management of this crisis. Here we uncover a strong concentration of butterfly diversity in rare and rapidly shrinking high-elevation climates. Integrating comprehensive phylogenetic and geographic range data for 12,119 species, we find that global centres of butterfly richness, range rarity and phylogenetic diversity are unusually concentrated in tropical and subtropical mountain systems. Two-thirds of the assessed species are primarily mountain dwelling and mountains hold 3.5 times more butterfly hotspots (top 5%) than lowlands. These hotspots only partially overlap with those of ants, terrestrial vertebrates and vascular plants (14-36%), while butterfly diversity is uniquely concentrated above 2,000 m elevation. We project that up to 64% of the temperature niche space of butterflies in tropical realms will erode by 2070, with the geographically restricted temperature conditions of mountains potentially turning these from refugia to traps for butterfly diversity. Our study identifies critical conservation priorities for butterflies and underscores the need for quantitative global assessments of at least select insect groups to help mitigate biodiversity loss in a rapidly warming world.

Indexed as

BiodiversityButterfliesClimate ChangeAnimalsConservation of Natural ResourcesPhylogeny

Identifiers

PMID40128452
PMCPMC12066357

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.