Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40124266›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of gastroenterology2025

Construction and validation of machine learning-based predictive model for colorectal polyp recurrence one year after endoscopic mucosal resection.

Yi-Heng Shi, Jun-Liang Liu, Cong-Cong Cheng, Wen-Ling Li, Han Sun, Xi-Liang Zhou, Hong Wei, Su-Juan Fei

Abstract readValidation StudyMulticenter Study
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of gastroenterology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Observational
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Machine Learning-Based Prediction of Histopathological Classification in Colorectal Polyps.The Turkish journal of gastroenterology : the official journal of Turkish Society of Gastroenterology · 2025
    Article
  8. Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Yi-Heng ShiDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221002, Jiangsu Province, China.
Jun-Liang LiuDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221002, Jiangsu Province, China.
Cong-Cong ChengDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221002, Jiangsu Province, China.
Wen-Ling LiDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221002, Jiangsu Province, China.
Han SunDepartment of Gastroenterology, Xuzhou Central Hospital, The Affiliated Xuzhou Hospital of Medical College of Southeast University, Xuzhou 221009, Jiangsu Province, China.
Xi-Liang ZhouDepartment of Gastroenterology, Xuzhou Central Hospital, The Affiliated Xuzhou Hospital of Medical College of Southeast University, Xuzhou 221009, Jiangsu Province, China.
Hong WeiDepartment of Gastroenterology, Xuzhou New Health Hospital, North Hospital of Xuzhou Cancer Hospital, Xuzhou 221007, Jiangsu Province, China.
Su-Juan FeiDepartment of Gastroenterology, The Affiliated Hospital of Xuzhou Medical University, Xuzhou 221002, Jiangsu Province, China. xyfyfeisj99@163.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundColorectal polyps are precancerous diseases of colorectal cancer. Early detection and resection of colorectal polyps can effectively reduce the mortality of colorectal cancer. Endoscopic mucosal resection (EMR) is a common polypectomy procedure in clinical practice, but it has a high postoperative recurrence rate. Currently, there is no predictive model for the recurrence of colorectal polyps after EMR.

aimTo construct and validate a machine learning (ML) model for predicting the risk of colorectal polyp recurrence one year after EMR.

methodsThis study retrospectively collected data from 1694 patients at three medical centers in Xuzhou. Additionally, a total of 166 patients were collected to form a prospective validation set. Feature variable screening was conducted using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, and five ML algorithms were used to construct the predictive models. The optimal models were evaluated based on different performance metrics. Decision curve analysis (DCA) and SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) analysis were performed to assess clinical applicability and predictor importance.

resultsMultivariate logistic regression analysis identified 8 independent risk factors for colorectal polyp recurrence one year after EMR (

conclusionThe XGBoost model has the best predictive performance and can assist clinicians in providing individualized colonoscopy follow-up recommendations.

Indexed as

Colonic PolypsColorectal NeoplasmsEndoscopic Mucosal ResectionMachine LearningNeoplasm Recurrence, LocalAgedColonoscopyFemaleHumansIntestinal MucosaLogistic ModelsMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsProspective StudiesRetrospective StudiesColorectal polypsMachine learningPredictive modelRisk factorsSHapley Additive exPlanation

Identifiers

PMID40124266
PMCPMC11924002

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.