Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40119388›Full record

ArticleCardiovascular diabetology2025

Association of triglyceride-glucose index trajectories with the risk of worsening heart failure in elderly patients with chronic heart failure and type 2 diabetes: a competing risk analysis.

Yingying Lai, Cailong Lin, Xindong Liu, Yuting Liu, Hua Cai, Nannan Zhao, Yushuo Gao, Ziyi Yi, Jianyu Huang, Min Li and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cardiovascular diabetology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Yingying LaiSchool of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, China.
Cailong LinSchool of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, China.
Xindong LiuDepartment of Geriatric Cardiology, General Hospital of Southern Theater Command, Guangzhou, China.
Yuting LiuDepartment of Geriatric Cardiology, General Hospital of Southern Theater Command, Guangzhou, China.
Hua CaiDepartment of Geriatric Cardiology, General Hospital of Southern Theater Command, Guangzhou, China.
Nannan ZhaoDepartment of Geriatric Cardiology, General Hospital of Southern Theater Command, Guangzhou, China.
Yushuo GaoDepartment of Geriatric Cardiology, General Hospital of Southern Theater Command, Guangzhou, China.
Ziyi YiDepartment of Geriatric Cardiology, General Hospital of Southern Theater Command, Guangzhou, China.
Jianyu HuangDepartment of Geriatric Cardiology, General Hospital of Southern Theater Command, Guangzhou, China.
Min LiDepartment of Geriatric Cardiology, General Hospital of Southern Theater Command, Guangzhou, China.
Lin XuSchool of Public Health, Guangdong Pharmaceutical University, Guangzhou, China. xxgnk_xlin@126.com.

Funding

Science and Technology Projects in Guangzhou NO. 2023A03J0170the National Clinical Research Center for Geriatrics NCRCG-PIAGH-2023006the National Natural Science Foundation of China No. U21A20522
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe triglyceride-glucose index serves as a dependable biomarker for gauging insulin resistance linked to cardiovascular disease. Our study was designed to investigate how the trajectory of the triglyceride-glucose index relates to the risk of worsening heart failure and overall mortality in patients aged 60 years and older with chronic heart failure and type 2 diabetes.

methodsThis study enrolled 466 patients who had ≥ 3 medical exams. The formula for calculating the triglyceride-glucose index was ln (fasting triglycerides [mg/dL] × fasting blood glucose [mg/dL]/2). The trajectory of the triglyceride-glucose index in longitudinal analysis was analyzed via linear mixed models. The relationships between the trajectory of the TyG index and the risk of worsening heart failure and overall mortality were analyzed via competing Cox regression analysis and mixed-effects Cox regression analysis.

resultsAfter the variables adjustment, compared with the first quartile group, the adjusted hazard ratios for worsening heart failure in top quartile group were 2.40 (1.35-3.28) for 10-year follow-up, and 2.09 (1.22-3.58) for overall follow-up duration. The adjusted hazard ratios for overall mortality in top quartile group were 1.99 (1.56-3.14) for 10-year follow-up, and 1.87 (1.22-2.88) for overall follow-up duration. Compared with the low decreasing trajectory, adjusted hazard ratios for worsening heart failure of high decreasing trajectory were 1.37 (1.10-1.71) for the 5-year follow-up, 1.78 (1.10-2.88) for 10-year follow-up, and 1.67 (1.04-2.68) for overall follow-up duration. The adjusted hazard ratios for overall mortality were 2.16 (1.39-3.35) for 10-year follow-up, and 2.23 (1.46-3.40) for overall follow-up duration.

conclusionDuring follow-up, a higher baseline level of TyG index and a high decreasing trajectory were independently associated with long-term worsening heart failure and an increased risk of overall mortality.

Indexed as

Blood GlucoseDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Heart FailureTriglyceridesAgedAged, 80 and overAge FactorsBiomarkersChronic DiseaseDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisBiomarkersBlood GlucoseTriglyceridesChronic heart failureOver 60 years oldTrajectoryTriglyceride-glucose indexType 2 diabetesWorsening heart failure

Identifiers

PMID40119388
PMCPMC11929357

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.