Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40118731›Full record

ArticleThe journal of prevention of Alzheimer's disease2025

Sample size estimates for biomarker-based outcome measures in clinical trials in autosomal dominant Alzheimer's disease.

David M Cash, Katy E Morgan, Antoinette O'Connor, Thomas D Veale, Ian B Malone, Teresa Poole, Tammie Ls Benzinger, Brian A Gordon, Laura Ibanez, Yan Li and 17 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The journal of prevention of Alzheimer's disease, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

27 authors.

David M CashDementia Research Centre, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, First floor, 8-11 Queen Square, London, WC1N 3AR, UK; UK Dementia Research Institute, 6th Floor, Maple House, Tottenham Court Road, London W1T 7NF, UK. Electronic address: d.cash@ucl.ac.uk.
Katy E MorganLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Antoinette O'ConnorDementia Research Centre, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, First floor, 8-11 Queen Square, London, WC1N 3AR, UK.
Thomas D VealeDementia Research Centre, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, First floor, 8-11 Queen Square, London, WC1N 3AR, UK.
Ian B MaloneDementia Research Centre, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, First floor, 8-11 Queen Square, London, WC1N 3AR, UK.
Teresa PooleLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Tammie Ls BenzingerDepartment of Radiology. Washington University School of Medicine, 660 S. Euclid Ave., St. Louis, MO 63110 USA.
Brian A GordonDepartment of Radiology. Washington University School of Medicine, 660 S. Euclid Ave., St. Louis, MO 63110 USA; Knight Alzheimer Disease Research Center, Washington University School of Medicine, 4488 Forest Park Ave., Suite 200, St. Louis, MO 63108 USA.
Laura IbanezDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St Louis, 660 S. Euclid Ave., St. Louis, MO 63110 USA; Department of Psychiarty, Washington University in St Louis, 660 S. Euclid Ave., St. Louis, MO 63110 USA.
Yan LiDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St Louis, 660 S. Euclid Ave., St. Louis, MO 63110 USA.
Jorge J Llibre-GuerraDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St Louis, 660 S. Euclid Ave., St. Louis, MO 63110 USA.
Eric McDadeDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St Louis, 660 S. Euclid Ave., St. Louis, MO 63110 USA.
Guoqiao WangDepartment of Neurology, Washington University in St Louis, 660 S. Euclid Ave., St. Louis, MO 63110 USA.
Jasmeer P ChhatwalBrigham and Women's Hospital, Massachusetts General Hospital; Harvard Medical School, 75 Francis St, Boston, MA 02115, USA.
Gregory S DayDepartment of Neurology, Mayo Clinic, 4500 San Pablo Rd S, Jacksonville, FL 32224, USA.
Edward HueyAlpert Medical School of Brown University, Department of Psychiatry and Human Behavior, 222 Richmond St., Providence, RI 02903, USA.
Mathias JuckerDepartment of Cellular Neurology, Hertie Institute for Clinical Brain Research, University of Tübingen, Otfried-Müller Strasse 27, 72076 Tübingen, Germany; German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases (DZNE), Otfried-Müller-Straße 23, 72076 Tübingen, Germany.
Johannes LevinDepartment of Neurology, LMU University Hospital, Marchioninistr. 15 D-81377, Munich, Germany; German Center for Neurodegenerative Diseases (DZNE), Feodor-Lynen-Strasse 17, 81377 Munich, Germany; Munich Cluster for Systems Neurology (SyNergy), Feodor-Lynen-Str. 17, 81377 Munich, Germany.
Yoshiki NiimiUnit for early and exploratory clinical development, The University of Tokyo Hospital, 7-3-1 Hongo, Bunkyo-ku, Tokyo, 113-0033, Japan.
James M NobleDepartment of Neurology, Taub Institute for Research on Alzheimer's Disease and the Aging Brain, GH Sergievksy Center, Columbia University, 710W 168th St #3, New York, NY 10032, USA.
Jee Hoon RohDepartments of Neurology and Physiology, Korea University Anam Hospital, Korea University College of Medicine, 73 goryeodae-ro, Seongbuk-gu, Seoul 02841, Republic Of Korea.
Racquel Sánchez-ValleAlzheimer's disease and other cognitive disorders group. Hospital Clínic de Barcelona. FRCB-IDIBAPS. University of Barcelona, Carrer de Villarroel, 170, L'Eixample, 08036 Barcelona, Spain.
Peter R SchofieldNeuroscience Research Australia, Margarete Ainsworth Building Barker Street, Randwick NSW 2031 Australia; School of Biomedical Sciences, University of New South Wales, UNSW Sydney, NSW 2052 Australia.
Randall J BatemanKnight Alzheimer Disease Research Center, Washington University School of Medicine, 4488 Forest Park Ave., Suite 200, St. Louis, MO 63108 USA; Department of Neurology, Washington University in St Louis, 660 S. Euclid Ave., St. Louis, MO 63110 USA; Hope Center for Neurological Disorders, Washington University in St Louis, 4370 Duncan Ave., St. Louis, MO 63110, USA.
Chris FrostLondon School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Nick C FoxDementia Research Centre, UCL Queen Square Institute of Neurology, First floor, 8-11 Queen Square, London, WC1N 3AR, UK; UK Dementia Research Institute, 6th Floor, Maple House, Tottenham Court Road, London W1T 7NF, UK.
Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer Network (DIAN)

Funding

Imaging CoreU19AG032438 · NIA · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI BATEMAN, RANDALL J · 2010 to 2025
$53.9M
Research Education CoreP30AG066462 · NIA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI Miguel Arce · 2020 to 2026
$30.1M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066462NIA NIH HHS U19 AG032438
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionAlzheimer disease (AD)-modifying therapies are approved for treatment of early-symptomatic AD. Autosomal dominant AD (ADAD) provides a unique opportunity to test therapies in presymptomatic individuals.

methodsUsing data from the Dominantly Inherited Alzheimer Network (DIAN), sample sizes for clinical trials were estimated for various cognitive, imaging, and CSF outcomes. Sample sizes were computed for detecting a reduction of either absolute levels of AD-related pathology (amyloid, tau) or change over time in neurodegeneration (atrophy, hypometabolism, cognitive change).

resultsBiomarkers measuring amyloid and tau pathology had required sample sizes below 200 participants per arm (examples CSF Aβ42/40: 47[95 %CI 25,104], cortical PIB 49[28,99], CSF p-tau181 74[48,125]) for a four-year trial in presymptomatic individuals (CDR=0) to have 80 % power (5 % statistical significance) to detect a 25 % reduction in absolute levels of pathology, allowing 40 % dropout. For cognitive, MRI, and FDG, it was more appropriate to detect a 50 % reduction in rate of change. Sample sizes ranged from 250 to 900 (examples hippocampal volume: 338[131,2096], cognitive composite: 326[157,1074]). MRI, FDG and cognitive outcomes had lower sample sizes when including indivduals with mild impairment (CDR=0.5 and 1) as well as presymptomatic individuals (CDR=0). DISCUSSION: Despite the rarity of ADAD, presymptomatic clinical trials with feasible sample sizes given the number of cases appear possible.

Indexed as

Alzheimer DiseaseClinical Trials as TopicOutcome Assessment, Health CareAmyloid beta-PeptidesBiomarkersBrainFemaleHumansMagnetic Resonance ImagingMaleMiddle AgedPositron-Emission TomographySample Sizetau ProteinsAmyloid beta-PeptidesBiomarkerstau ProteinsAlzheimer's diseaseAutosomal dominantClinical trialsCSFLinear mixed effects modelsLongitudinalMRIPETSample sizeß-amyloid

Identifiers

PMID40118731
PMCPMC12434275

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.