Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40116827›Full record

ArticleJAMA network open2025

State Earned Income Tax Credits and Firearm Suicides.

Nicole Asa, Alice Ellyson, Ali Rowhani-Rahbar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JAMA network open, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Financial Stressors and Suicide.JAMA network open · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Nicole AsaDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle.
Alice EllysonDepartment of Pediatrics and Firearm Injury and Policy Research Program, School of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle.
Ali Rowhani-RahbarDepartment of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of Washington, Seattle.

Funding

Scientific/Technical CoreP2CHD042828 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI SARA R. CURRAN · 2017 to 2026
$6.3M
NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD042828
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Importance: Firearm suicides are an increasing public health crisis and disproportionately impact low-income communities. The earned income tax credit (EITC) is the largest poverty alleviation program for working families with low income in the US. Objective: To evaluate the association of presence and generosity of state EITC policies with state-level firearm suicide rates. Design, Setting, and Participants: This ecological cohort study analyzed EITC data and suicide rates from 46 US states and Washington, DC, from 1981 to 2019. Data analysis was conducted from June 2022 to August 2024. Exposure: The exposure was the presence and generosity of state refundable EITCs (ie, amount of a refundable tax credit that exceeds income tax liability is refunded to taxpayers). The EITC generosity was measured as a continuous exposure quantified by percentage of the federal EITC offered by a state each year. Main Outcomes and Measures: The outcome was state-level annual firearm suicide rates. The association of state EITC implementation with firearm suicide rates was estimated using heterogeneity-robust 2-stage difference-in-difference (DID). All regression models used ordinary least squares, included state and year fixed effects with standard errors clustered at the state level, and adjusted for time-varying state-level covariates. Results: Individual-level data were not available in this study of state-level firearm suicide rates. During the study period, 20 states implemented a refundable EITC (generosity range, 3.4%-85%). In 2019, the final year of the study, the nationwide rate of firearm suicide was 7.29 per 100 000 persons. A statistically significant negative association was found between refundable EITCs and firearm suicide rates. Every 10% increase in refundable EITC generosity was associated with a decrease in the mean firearm suicide rate by 0.28 (95% CI, -0.48 to -0.08) cases per 100 000 person-years (relative decline, 4.3%; 95% CI, 1.5% to 7.0%). The mean firearm suicide rate was 0.49 (95% CI, -0.91 to -0.07) cases per 100 000 person-years fewer comparing postimplementation and preimplementation years among states that implemented a refundable EITC contrasting with the change during that time in states without a refundable EITC (relative decline, 7.9%; 95% CI, 2.7% to 12.9%). Conclusion: In this cohort study, the presence and generosity of state refundable EITCs were associated with a decrease in firearm suicide rates, supporting the growing body of literature highlighting the importance of antipoverty policies for reducing firearm suicide.

Indexed as

FirearmsIncome TaxSuicideCohort StudiesFemaleHumansMalePovertyUnited States

Identifiers

PMID40116827
PMCPMC11929027

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.