Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40116140›Full record

ArticleAddiction (Abingdon, England)2025

Current and future trends in the consumption, sale and purchasing of alcohol-free and low-alcohol products in Great Britain, 2014 to 2023.

Luke B Wilson, Abigail K Stevely, Inge Kersbergen, Ellen McGrane, Esther C Moore, Rob E Pryce, Jamie Brown, John Holmes

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Addiction (Abingdon, England), 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Non-alcoholic beer labeling in the United States.Addiction (Abingdon, England) · 2025
    Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Luke B WilsonSheffield Addictions Research Group, School of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5769-5729
Abigail K StevelySheffield Addictions Research Group, School of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Inge KersbergenSheffield Addictions Research Group, School of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8799-8963
Ellen McGraneSheffield Addictions Research Group, School of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Esther C MooreSheffield Addictions Research Group, School of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.
Rob E PryceSheffield Addictions Research Group, School of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4853-0719
Jamie BrownDepartment of Behavioural Science and Health, UCL, London, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2797-5428
John HolmesSheffield Addictions Research Group, School of Medicine and Population Health, University of Sheffield, Sheffield, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9283-2151

Funding

Cancer Research UK PRCRPG-Nov21\100002Public Health Research Programme NIHR135310School for Public Health Research NIHR204000UK Prevention Research Partnership MR/S037519/1Wellcome Trust 204000
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

aimsThe UK Government has committed to reducing alcohol consumption by 2025 through increasing the availability of alcohol-free and low-alcohol (no/lo) drinks. This study estimated current and future trends in key indicators of the availability, sale, purchasing and consumption of no/lo products in Great Britain.

designSeasonal autoregressive integrated moving average models of market research data and repeat-cross-sectional survey data on alcohol consumption.

settingGreat Britain (England, Scotland and Wales), January 2014-December 2025. PARTICIPANTS/MEASUREMENTS: The study used population-level data on no/lo product availability and sales in the on-trade (e.g. bars, pubs, clubs, restaurants), as well as the off-trade (e.g. supermarkets and convenience stores) (2014-2023), continuous household panel data on purchasing (n ≈ 30 000; 2018-2023) and repeat-cross-sectional survey data on consumption (n ≈ 80 000, 2020-2024) to construct monthly time series for seven indicators. It described current trends and forecast them to December 2025.

findingsAll indicators showed increasing trends to 2025. The forecast level of each indicator in December 2025 was: Indicators 1 and 2: Percentage of alcoholic drinks sales volume that is no/lo products: 2.3% (50% Prediction Interval 2.1%-2.9%, off-trade) and 1.0% (50% Prediction Interval 0.8%-1.1%, on-trade); Indicator 3: Percentage of pubs selling draught no/lo products: 6.8% (50% Prediction Interval 6.1%-7.5%); Indicator 4: Percentage of households purchasing off-trade no/lo products but not alcoholic products: 12.3% (50% Prediction Interval 10.9%-13.6%); Indicator 5: Percentage of higher alcohol purchasing households that are increasing off-trade purchasing of no/lo products: 24.3% (50% Prediction Interval 21.3%-30.6%); Indicator 6: Percentage of households increasing off-trade purchasing of no/lo products and decreasing purchasing of alcoholic products: 1.8% (50% Prediction Interval 0.8%-2.8%); Indicator 7: Percentage of risky drinkers using no/lo products in most recent cut-down attempt: 42.4% (50% Prediction Interval 37.2%-53.3%).

conclusionsConsumption of alcohol-free and low-alcohol drinks is increasing in Great Britain but predicted to remain low in 2025 (estimated at 1.0% of on-trade and 2.3% of off-trade alcohol sales volume in servings by the end of 2025). There is some evidence that people are using no/lo drinks in attempts to reduce their alcohol consumption.

Indexed as

Alcohol DrinkingAlcoholic BeveragesCommerceConsumer BehaviorCross-Sectional StudiesForecastingHumansUnited Kingdomalcohol drinkingconsumptionforecastingpurchasingtime series analysiszero‐alcohol

Identifiers

PMID40116140
PMCPMC12215216

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.