Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40114977›Full record

ArticleOpen forum infectious diseases2025

Risk of Incident Tuberculosis Disease in a Large Integrated Health Care System in California, 2004-2022.

Jacek Skarbinski, Yuching Ni, Nicole Halmer, Katia J Bruxvoort, Joshua R Nugent, Heidi Fischer, Lei Qian, Bradley K Ackerson, Laura B Amsden, Sally F Shaw and 2 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Open forum infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Jacek SkarbinskiDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1630-5733
Yuching NiDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, USA.
Nicole HalmerDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, USA.
Katia J BruxvoortDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, Alabama, USA.
Joshua R NugentDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4479-9673
Heidi FischerDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5343-0002
Lei QianDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.
Bradley K AckersonSouthern California Permanente Medical Group, Harbor City, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-0816-7345
Laura B AmsdenDivision of Research, Kaiser Permanente Northern California, Oakland, California, USA.
Sally F ShawDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6553-1772
Brigitte SpenceDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2386-9967
Sara Y TartofDepartment of Research & Evaluation, Kaiser Permanente Southern California, Pasadena, California, USA.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2336-8476

Funding

A New Approach to an Old Problem: Redesigning Latent Tuberculosis Screening and TreatmentR01AI151072 · NIAID · KAISER FOUNDATION RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI TARTOF, SARA · 2020 to 2024
$3.9M
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI151072
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Few studies have assessed tuberculosis (TB) disease incidence and risk in a large US-based cohort with long-term longitudinal follow-up. Methods: In a retrospective cohort study from 2004 to 2022, we assessed risk of incident microbiologically confirmed TB disease using Cox proportional hazards models. Primary exposures were (1) nativity and (2) high-risk medical conditions for progression to TB disease. Results: Among 4 761 427 adults with 35 591 565 person-years (PY) of follow-up, 12.3% were born in TB-endemic countries and 5.5% had a high-risk medical condition. In all, 1463 had incident TB disease (incidence rate, 4.11/100 000PY), with persons born in TB-endemic countries (incidence rate [IR], 17.6/100 000PY; 95% CI, 16.4-18.7/100 000PY) having higher TB disease rates than US-born persons (IR, 1.27/100 000PY; 95% CI, 1.09-1.44/100 000PY), with an adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) of 15.3 (95% CI, 13.2-17.9). Persons with high-risk conditions (IR, 11.3/100 000PY; 95% CI, 10.0-12.6/100 000PY) had higher TB disease rates than persons without any conditions (IR, 2.63/100 000PY; 95% CI, 2.43-2.82/100 000PY). Persons with HIV infection (aHR, 3.77; 95% CI, 2.7-3.89), hematologic malignancy (aHR, 1.62; 95% CI, 1.17-2.22), diabetes mellitus (aHR, 2.85; 95% CI, 2.53-3.20), end-stage renal disease (aHR, 2.84; 95% CI, 2.07-3.20), and those who had received corticosteroids (aHR, 1.39; 95% CI, 1.10-1.77) or other immunosuppressants (aHR, 2.37; 95% CI, 1.73-3.24) had significantly increased TB disease risk compared with persons without those conditions. Persons born in TB-endemic countries accounted for 79.1% all TB cases among persons with high-risk conditions. Conclusions: Persons born in TB-endemic countries are the largest group and have the highest risk for developing TB disease in the United States, and thus should be prioritized for LTBI screening and treatment.

Indexed as

Californiaepidemiologyimmunosuppressionrisktuberculosis

Identifiers

PMID40114977
PMCPMC11904888

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.