Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40111925›Full record

ArticleJournal of Alzheimer's disease : JAD2025

Predictors of transitions between normal cognition, cognitive impairment, and dementia in a longitudinal cohort.

Nan Shi, Kelly M Bakulski, James F Burke, Andrew F Brouwer

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of Alzheimer's disease : JAD, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Nan ShiDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID 0009-0007-4027-3045
Kelly M BakulskiDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9605-6337
James F BurkeDepartment of Neurology, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-2296-1588
Andrew F BrouwerDepartment of Epidemiology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-3779-5287

Funding

Research Education ComponentP30AG072931 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Henry L Paulson · 2021 to 2026
$26.5M
Michigan Alzheimer's Disease Core CenterP30AG053760 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI LIEBERMAN, ANDREW P · 2016 to 2020
$10.1M
Pilot CoreP30AG066582 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Julie PW Bynum · 2020 to 2026
$7.2M
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG053760NIA NIH HHS P30 AG066582NIA NIH HHS P30 AG072931
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BackgroundUnderstanding how sociodemographic characteristics and medical history are associated with progression (or regression) of Alzheimer's disease and related dementias could inform intervention strategies, personalized prognoses, and projections of population-level burden.ObjectiveWe estimated transition rates for progression and reversion between normal cognition, cognitive impairment, dementia, and death in a longitudinal cohort, as well as associations with sociodemographic characteristics and medical history.MethodsWe applied a multistate transition model to a cohort of 960 participants (with 2-16 (median 3) annual visits; 2006-24). Covariate hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated in models adjusted for age group.ResultsSeveral covariates were associated with faster progression from normal cognition to cognitive impairment but slower progression from cognitive impairment to dementia. For example, non-Hispanic Black participants transitioned from normal to cognitive impairment at higher rates (HR: 2.29, 95% CI: 1.63, 3.21) and to dementia at lower rates (HR: 0.12, 95% CI: 0.06, 0.23) than non-Hispanic White participants. Additionally, amnestic versus non-amnestic impairment emerged as a strong predictor of transitions from cognitive impairment by reducing reversion to normal cognition (HR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.35, 0.74) and accelerating progression to dementia (HR: 2.51, 95% CI: 1.49, 4.22). History of traumatic brain injury was associated with reversion from cognitive impairment to normal cognition (HR: 2.43, 95% CI: 1.13, 5.23).ConclusionsA better understanding and measurement of cognitive impairment is needed to explain and predict both reversion to normal cognition and why factors associated with faster onset of impairment may be associated with delayed onset of dementia.

Indexed as

CognitionCognitive DysfunctionDementiaAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesDisease ProgressionFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleNeuropsychological TestsAlzheimer's diseasecognitive impairmentcognitive reservedementiadisease progression

Identifiers

PMID40111925
PMCPMC12353166

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.