Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40111265›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental science & technology2025

Material Efficiency and Circularity Goals to Achieve a Carbon-Neutral Society by 2050.

Sho Hata, Keisuke Nansai, Yosuke Shigetomi, Minami Kito, Kenichi Nakajima

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental science & technology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Sho HataSocial Systems Division, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba 305-8506, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-0809-7145
Keisuke NansaiMaterial Cycles Division, National Institute for Environmental Studies, 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba 305-8506, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-2449-1874
Yosuke ShigetomiCollege of Science and Engineering, Ritsumeikan University, 1-1-1 Nojihigashi, Kusatsu 525-8577, Japan.ORCID 0000-0003-1384-0992
Minami KitoFaculty of Socio-Environmental Studies, Fukuoka Institute of Technology, 3-30-1 Wajirohigashi, Higashi-ku, Fukuoka 811-0295, Japan.
Kenichi NakajimaGraduate School of Frontier Sciences, The University of Tokyo, 5-1-5 Kashiwanoha, Kashiwa, Chiba 277-8563, Japan.ORCID 0000-0002-7241-7695

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Decarbonizing materials production presents a major challenge to achieving a carbon-neutral society. The current carbon-neutral roadmap for materials generally assumes an uncertain dissemination of innovative production technologies, making the changes in material flows required for a carbon-neutral society unclear. This study introduces three material reduction scenarios and an input-output optimization model to explore material flows in Japan for achieving carbon neutrality by 2050 without disseminating innovative technologies. The results indicate that Japanese carbon emissions could reach neutrality by 2050 if the country can manage a yearly material reduction of 4% together with the decarbonization of electricity generation. To achieve this, the material efficiency of consumption must increase nearly 4-fold, and the material circulation rate must be doubled. Achieving such a rapid improvement in material efficiency and circularity is as challenging as the early large-scale deployment of material decarbonization technologies. Therefore, the critical choice in the remaining years is whether to bet heavily on innovative material decarbonization or prioritize technologies and policies accelerating material efficiency.

Indexed as

CarbonConservation of Natural ResourcesJapanCarboncircular economyinput−output analysismaterial efficiencymaterial footprintscenario analysis

Identifiers

PMID40111265
PMCPMC11966779

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.