Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40106755›Full record

ArticleNeurology2025

Five-Year Changes in 24-Hour Sleep-Wake Activity and Dementia Risk in Oldest Old Women.

Sasha Milton, Clémence Cavaillès, Sonia Ancoli-Israel, Katie L Stone, Kristine Yaffe, Yue Leng

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Neurology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Association between circadian rhythm disturbances and cognitive decline in the elderly: a systematic review.Neurological sciences : official journal of the Italian Neurological Society and of the Italian Society of Clinical Neurophysiology · 2026
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
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  8. Sleep Abnormalities and Risk of Alzheimer's Disease.Current neurology and neuroscience reports · 2025
    Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Sasha MiltonDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, University of California, San Francisco.ORCID 0009-0004-0027-3233
Clémence CavaillèsDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, University of California, San Francisco.ORCID 0000-0002-8443-2307
Sonia Ancoli-IsraelDepartment of Psychiatry, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla.
Katie L StoneResearch Institute, California Pacific Medical Center, San Francisco.
Kristine YaffeDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, University of California, San Francisco.ORCID 0000-0003-0919-3825
Yue LengDepartment of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, University of California, San Francisco.ORCID 0000-0001-5826-4031

Funding

VARC CoreP30AG044281 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Louise C. Walter · 2013 to 2026
$19.9M
Sleep Quality and Mechanistic Links to Alzheimer Disease and Related Disorders among older Mexican Americans and Non-Hispanic WhitesR01AG066137 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI O'BRYANT, SID E, YAFFE, KRISTINE · 2019 to 2023
$4.3M
Lifecourse sleep, cognitive decline and risk of Alzheimer's disease: a pooled cohort study.R01AG083836 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI Yue Leng · 2024 to 2026
$2.1M
Development of novel polysomnography-based digital biomarkers to predict Alzheimer’s disease and Parkinson’s disease in real world settingsR21AG085495 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI LENG, YUE · 2023 to 2023
$469k
NIA NIH HHS P30 AG044281NIA NIH HHS R01 AG066137NIA NIH HHS R01 AG083836NIA NIH HHS R21 AG085495
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectivesSleep disruptions are associated with cognitive aging in older adults. However, little is known about longitudinal sleep changes in the oldest old and whether these changes are linked to cognitive impairment. We aimed to determine whether changes in 24-hour multidimensional sleep-wake activity are associated with mild cognitive impairment (MCI) and dementia in oldest old women.

methodsWe studied cognitively unimpaired women enrolled in the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures who completed wrist actigraphy twice (baseline and follow-up) and had cognitive status evaluated at follow-up using a neuropsychological battery and adjudication. To identify multidimensional sleep-wake change profiles, we performed hierarchical clustering on principal components on the 5-year changes (median 5.0 [range 3.5-6.3] years) in nighttime sleep (sleep duration, sleep efficiency [SE], and wake after sleep onset [WASO]), napping (duration and frequency), and circadian rest-activity rhythms (RARs; acrophase, amplitude, mesor, and robustness). Using multinomial logistic regression, we evaluated the associations between these profiles-and individual parameter changes-and MCI and dementia risk at follow-up.

resultsOf 733 participants (mean age 82.5 ± 2.9 years), 164 (22.4%) developed MCI and 93 (12.7%) developed dementia by the follow-up visit. We identified 3 sleep-wake change profiles: stable sleep (SS; n = 321 [43.8%]) was characterized by stability or small improvements; declining nighttime sleep (n = 256 [34.9%]) showed decreases in nighttime sleep quality and duration, moderate napping increases, and worsening circadian RARs; and increasing sleepiness (IS; n = 156 [21.3%]) exhibited large increases in daytime and nighttime sleep duration and quality, and worsening circadian RARs. After adjustment for age, education, race, body mass index, diabetes, hypertension, myocardial infarction, antidepressant use, and baseline cognition, women with IS had approximately double the risk of dementia (odds ratio 2.21, 95% CI 1.14-4.26) compared with those with SS. SE, WASO, nap duration, and nap frequency were individually associated with dementia. Neither sleep-wake change profiles nor individual parameters were associated with MCI. DISCUSSION: Among community-dwelling women in their 80s, those with increasing 24-hour sleepiness over 5 years had doubled dementia risk during that time. Change in multidimensional 24-hour sleep-wake activity may serve as an early marker or risk factor for dementia in oldest old women.

Indexed as

Circadian RhythmCognitive DysfunctionDementiaSleepActigraphyAged, 80 and overFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesNeuropsychological TestsRisk Factors

Identifiers

PMID40106755
PMCPMC11919274

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.