Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40106452›Full record

ArticleJMIRx med2025

Large Language Models for Pediatric Differential Diagnoses in Rural Health Care: Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study Comparing GPT-3 With Pediatrician Performance.

Masab Mansoor, Andrew F Ibrahim, David Grindem, Asad Baig

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in JMIRx med, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
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  8. Pediatrics 4.0: the Transformative Impacts of the Latest Industrial Revolution on Pediatrics.Health care analysis : HCA : journal of health philosophy and policy · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Masab MansoorEdward Via College of Osteopathic Medicine, 4408 Bon Aire Dr, Monroe, LA, 71203, United States, 1 5045213500.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0007-4501-7016
Andrew F IbrahimTexas Tech University Health Sciences Center School of Medicine, Lubbock, TX, United States.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5516-8378
David GrindemMayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, United States.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0000-0721-3285
Asad BaigDepartment of Radiology, Columbia University Medical Center, New York, NY, United States.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0007-4501-7016

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Background: Rural health care providers face unique challenges such as limited specialist access and high patient volumes, making accurate diagnostic support tools essential. Large language models like GPT-3 have demonstrated potential in clinical decision support but remain understudied in pediatric differential diagnosis. Objective: This study aims to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy and reliability of a fine-tuned GPT-3 model compared to board-certified pediatricians in rural health care settings. Methods: This multicenter retrospective cohort study analyzed 500 pediatric encounters (ages 0-18 years; n=261, 52.2% female) from rural health care organizations in Central Louisiana between January 2020 and December 2021. The GPT-3 model (DaVinci version) was fine-tuned using the OpenAI application programming interface and trained on 350 encounters, with 150 reserved for testing. Five board-certified pediatricians (mean experience: 12, SD 5.8 years) provided reference standard diagnoses. Model performance was assessed using accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and subgroup analyses. Results: The GPT-3 model achieved an accuracy of 87.3% (131/150 cases), sensitivity of 85% (95% CI 82%-88%), and specificity of 90% (95% CI 87%-93%), comparable to pediatricians' accuracy of 91.3% (137/150 cases; P=.47). Performance was consistent across age groups (0-5 years: 54/62, 87%; 6-12 years: 47/53, 89%; 13-18 years: 30/35, 86%) and common complaints (fever: 36/39, 92%; abdominal pain: 20/23, 87%). For rare diagnoses (n=20), accuracy was slightly lower (16/20, 80%) but comparable to pediatricians (17/20, 85%; P=.62). Conclusions: This study demonstrates that a fine-tuned GPT-3 model can provide diagnostic support comparable to pediatricians, particularly for common presentations, in rural health care. Further validation in diverse populations is necessary before clinical implementation.

Indexed as

artificial intelligencegenerative pretrained transformerGPTlanguage modellarge language modelLLMmachine learningMLnatural language processingNLPpediatrics

Identifiers

PMID40106452
PMCPMC11939124

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.