Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40106399›Full record

ArticlePloS one2025

Cost-effectiveness of broadly neutralizing antibodies for HIV prophylaxis for infants born in settings with high HIV burdens.

Christopher Alba, Shelly Malhotra, Stephanie Horsfall, Matthew E Barnhart, Adrie Bekker, Katerina Chapman, Coleen K Cunningham, Patricia E Fast, Genevieve G Fouda, Kenneth A Freedberg and 14 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

24 authors.

Christopher AlbaMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8692-7656
Shelly MalhotraIAVI, New York, New York, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7457-386X
Stephanie HorsfallMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Matthew E BarnhartOffice of HIV/AIDS, Bureau for Global Health, Agency for International Development (USAID), Washington, DC, United States of America.
Adrie BekkerDepartment of Pediatrics and Child Health, Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Stellenbosch University, Cape Town, South Africa.
Katerina ChapmanIAVI, New York, New York, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-5413-2058
Coleen K CunninghamDepartment of Pediatrics, University of California Irvine, Irvine, California, United States of America.
Patricia E FastIAVI, New York, New York, United States of America.
Genevieve G FoudaDepartment of Pediatrics, New York-Presbyterian/Weill Cornell Medical Center, New York, New York, United States of America.
Kenneth A FreedbergMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Ameena GogaSouth African Medical Research Council, Cape Town, South Africa.
Lusine R GhazaryanOffice of HIV/AIDS, Bureau for Global Health, Agency for International Development (USAID), Washington, DC, United States of America.
Valériane LeroyCentre d'Epidémiologie et de Recherche en santé des POPulations (CERPOP), Inserm and Université Toulouse III, Toulouse, France.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3542-8616
Carlyn MannOffice of HIV/AIDS, Bureau for Global Health, Agency for International Development (USAID), Washington, DC, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6445-507X
Margaret M McCluskeyOffice of HIV/AIDS, Bureau for Global Health, Agency for International Development (USAID), Washington, DC, United States of America.
Elizabeth J McFarlandDepartment of Pediatrics, Children's Hospital Colorado and University of Colorado Anschutz Medical Campus, Aurora, Colorado, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0653-8955
Vincent Muturi-KioiEastern Africa Regional Office, IAVI, Nairobi, Kenya.
Sallie R PermarDepartment of Pediatrics, New York-Presbyterian/Weill Cornell Medical Center, New York, New York, United States of America.
Roger ShapiroDivision of Infectious Diseases, Beth Israel Deaconess Medical Center, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Devin SokIAVI, New York, New York, United States of America.
Lynda Stranix-ChibandaChild and Adolescent Health Unit, University of Zimbabwe Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, Harare, Zimbabwe.
Milton C WeinsteinDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Andrea L CiaranelloMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.
Caitlin M DugdaleMedical Practice Evaluation Center, Massachusetts General Hospital, Boston, Massachusetts, United States of America.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6604-6111

Funding

LOC-IMPAACT Leadership GroupPharmacokinetics and Safety of Remdesivir for Treatment of COVID-19 in Pregnant Women in the USUM1AI068632 · NIAID · SOCIAL AND SCIENTIFIC SYSTEMS, INC. · PI Jennifer Jao, Sharon A Nachman · 2011 to 2026
$278.1M
Statistical and Data Management Center-Pediatric,Adolescent, and Maternal CTGUM1AI068616 · NIAID · HARVARD UNIVERSITY D/B/A HARVARD SCHOOL OF PUBLIC HEALTH · PI Sean Scott Brummel, Marlene Ann Cooper · 2011 to 2026
$155.6M
LC - IMPAACT Leadership GroupUM1AI106716 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA LOS ANGELES · PI Grace M Aldrovandi · 2014 to 2026
$47.2M
Innovation across the spectrum of pediatric HIV care: Clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of long-acting antiretroviral therapy for breastfeeding people with HIV and their infants in ZimbabweR01HD079214 · NICHD · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI CIARANELLO, ANDREA LYNNE · 2014 to 2023
$8.0M
Novel Methods to Inform HIV/TB Clinical Trial DevelopmentR01AI093269 · NIAID · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI REDDY, KRISHNA P · 2011 to 2024
$6.8M
Modeling the Effects of HIV, Chlamydia, and Gonorrhea in Mother-Infant Pairs in Botswana.K08HD101342 · NICHD · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI DUGDALE, CAITLIN · 2020 to 2024
$897k
NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI093269NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068616NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI068632NIAID NIH HHS UM1 AI106716NICHD NIH HHS HHSN275201800001CNICHD NIH HHS HHSN275201800001INICHD NIH HHS K08 HD101342NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD079214
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundApproximately 130 000 infants acquire HIV annually despite global maternal antiretroviral therapy scale-up. We evaluated the potential clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of offering long-acting, anti-HIV broadly neutralizing antibody (bNAb) prophylaxis to infants in three distinct settings.

methodsWe simulated infants in Côte d'Ivoire, South Africa, and Zimbabwe using the Cost-Effectiveness of Preventing AIDS Complications-Pediatric (CEPAC-P) model. We modeled strategies offering a three-bNAb combination in addition to WHO-recommended standard-of-care oral prophylaxis to infants: a) with known, WHO-defined high-risk HIV exposure at birth (HR-HIVE); b) with known HIV exposure at birth (HIVE); or c) with or without known HIV exposure (ALL). Modeled infants received 1-dose, 2-doses, or Extended (every 3 months through 18 months) bNAb dosing. Base case model inputs included 70% bNAb efficacy (sensitivity analysis range: 10-100%), 3-month efficacy duration/dosing interval (1-6 months), and $20/dose cost ($5-$100/dose). Outcomes included pediatric HIV infections, life expectancy, lifetime HIV-related costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs, in US$/year-of-life-saved [YLS], assuming a ≤ 50% GDP per capita cost-effectiveness threshold).

findingsThe base case model projects that bNAb strategies targeting HIVE and ALL infants would prevent 7-26% and 10-42% additional pediatric HIV infections, respectively, compared to standard-of-care alone, ranging by dosing approach. HIVE-Extended would be cost-effective (cost-saving compared to standard-of-care) in Côte d'Ivoire and Zimbabwe; ALL-Extended would be cost-effective in South Africa (ICER: $882/YLS). BNAb strategies targeting HR-HIVE infants would result in greater lifetime costs and smaller life expectancy gains than HIVE-Extended. Throughout most bNAb efficacies and costs evaluated in sensitivity analyses, targeting HIVE infants would be cost-effective in Côte d'Ivoire and Zimbabwe, and targeting ALL infants would be cost-effective in South Africa.

interpretationAdding long-acting bNAbs to current standard-of-care prophylaxis would be cost-effective, assuming plausible efficacies and costs. The cost-effective target population would vary by setting, largely driven by maternal antenatal HIV prevalence and postpartum incidence.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsBroadly Neutralizing AntibodiesHIV AntibodiesHIV InfectionsInfectious Disease Transmission, VerticalCost-Benefit AnalysisCote d'IvoireFemaleHumansInfantInfant, NewbornMaleSouth AfricaZimbabweAnti-HIV AgentsBroadly Neutralizing AntibodiesHIV Antibodies

Identifiers

PMID40106399
PMCPMC11922280

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.