Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40102921›Full record

ArticleTrials2025

Lack of reproducibility of trial sequential analyses: a meta-epidemiological study.

Xing Xing, Yining Wang, Yipeng Wang, Mohammad Hassan Murad, Lifeng Lin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Trials, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Xing XingDepartment of Biostatistics, Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Yining WangMenzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia.
Yipeng WangDepartment of Biostatistics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA.
Mohammad Hassan MuradEvidence-Based Practice Center, Mayo Clinic, Rochester, MN, USA.
Lifeng LinDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Arizona, 1295 N. Martin Ave., Tucson, AZ, 85724, USA. lifenglin@arizona.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3562-9816

Funding

Statistical Methods and Software for Multivariate Meta-analysisR01LM012982 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI LIN, LIFENG, SIEGEL, LIANNE · 2019 to 2022
$1.3M
Advanced Methods and Software for Trial Sequential Analysis in Living Systematic ReviewsR21LM014533 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA · PI LIN, LIFENG · 2024 to 2025
$364k
Joint modeling of continuous and binary data in meta-analysisR03MH128727 · NIMH · UNIVERSITY OF ARIZONA · PI LIN, LIFENG · 2022 to 2023
$146k
Arizona Biomedical Research Commission RFGA2023-008-11NIMH NIH HHS R03 MH128727NLM NIH HHS R01 LM012982NLM NIH HHS R21 LM014533
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Systematic reviews and meta-analyses are essential tools for synthesizing evidence from multiple studies. Recently, trial sequential analyses (TSAs) have gained popularity as a component of meta-analyses, helping researchers dynamically monitor evidence as new studies are incorporated. This article introduces a meta-epidemiological study aimed at evaluating the reproducibility of TSAs within systematic reviews published in 2023. Two independent investigators assessed and reproduced the main TSA for each included systematic review. Our search in PubMed yielded a convenience sample of 98 systematic reviews. Only 28% (27/98) of the included TSAs provided sufficient data to calculate the required information size, an essential element for assessing statistical power and conducting TSAs. Among these, 81% (22/27) provided the necessary data to determine decision boundaries and Z-curves in TSAs. Overall, full reproducibility was achieved for only 13% (13/98) of TSAs. Specifically, for binary outcomes, 65% (47/72) of TSAs failed to report event rates in control groups, and 44% (32/72) did not report relative risk reductions. For continuous outcomes, 53% (17/32) failed to report minimally relevant differences, and 72% (23/32) did not report variances. These elements are crucial for TSA reproducibility. Moreover, the reproducibility of TSAs was associated with journal impact factors and adherence to the PRISMA guidelines. A collective effort is needed from systematic review authors, peer reviewers, and journal editors to improve the reproducibility of TSAs.

Indexed as

Clinical Trials as TopicMeta-Analysis as TopicResearch DesignData Interpretation, StatisticalHumansReproducibility of ResultsSystematic Reviews as TopicMeta-analysisReproducibilitySystematic reviewTrial sequential analysis

Identifiers

PMID40102921
PMCPMC11917100

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.