Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40102856›Full record

ArticleBMC veterinary research2025

Spatial-temporal distribution and risk factors of foot and mouth disease outbreaks in Java Island, Indonesia from 2022 to 2023.

Virgilius Martin Kelake Kedang, Indri Permatasari, Thanicha Chanchaidechachai, Chaidate Inchaisri

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Article in BMC veterinary research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

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3citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Virgilius Martin Kelake KedangInternational Graduate Program of Veterinary Science and Technology, Faculty of Veterinary Science, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand.
Indri PermatasariDirectorate of Animal Health, Directorate General of Livestock and Animal Health Services, Ministry of Agriculture Republic of Indonesia, Jakarta, Indonesia.
Thanicha ChanchaidechachaiFaculty of Veterinary Medicine, Utrecht University, Utrecht, Netherlands.
Chaidate InchaisriResearch Unit of Data Innovation for Livestock, Department of Veterinary Medicine, Faculty of Veterinary Science, Chulalongkorn University, Bangkok, Thailand. chaidate.i@chula.ac.th.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundIndonesia faced new outbreaks of foot and mouth disease in 2022 after being officially free from the disease for several decades. The outbreaks were first reported in East Java in April 2022 and subsequently spread to many regions in Indonesia. This study investigated the epidemiology and risk factors of foot and mouth disease outbreaks in Java, Indonesia, from 2022 to 2023. Descriptive, spatial, spatiotemporal, and risk factor analyses were conducted to investigate the patterns and risk factors associated with the outbreaks in Java.

resultsResults showed that the outbreaks were distributed across the island. East Java was the most affected region. The outbreaks peaked in June 2022, followed by a downward trend until 2023. Positive spatial autocorrelations were found in both years, indicating that the outbreaks clustered in several areas. The spatiotemporal analysis found a total of 16 clusters in both years, with 11 clusters in 2022 and 5 clusters in 2023. The temporal distribution of clusters indicated a peak period from May to July, with 12 out of 16 clusters occurring during this time. Risk factor analysis found that environmental and agricultural-related factors, including annual precipitation, the presence of livestock markets, the presence of slaughterhouses, the presence of animal health centres, cattle population, and goat population, are significant risk factors for the occurrence of outbreaks in Java. Probability risk mapping found higher risk areas primarily distributed in the eastern and central parts of Java.

conclusionsThe outbreaks predominantly clustered in eastern and central parts of Java. The outbreaks peaked in June 2022, followed by a downward trend until the end of 2023. Environmental and agricultural-related factors significantly increased the risk of outbreak occurrence.

Indexed as

Cattle DiseasesDisease OutbreaksFoot-and-Mouth DiseaseAnimalsCattleGoat DiseasesGoatsIndonesiaRisk FactorsSheepSpatio-Temporal AnalysisFoot-and-Mouth DiseaseJava IslandRisk FactorsSpatiotemporal Analysis

Identifiers

PMID40102856
PMCPMC11916208

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.