Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40102178›Full record

ArticleEmerging infectious diseases2025

Recent and Forecasted Increases in Coccidioidomycosis Incidence Linked to Hydroclimatic Swings, California, USA.

Simon K Camponuri, Alexandra K Heaney, Gail Sondermeyer Cooksey, Duc J Vugia, Seema Jain, Daniel L Swain, John Balmes, Justin V Remais, Jennifer R Head

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Emerging infectious diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Lancet regional health. Americas · 2026
    Article
  5. Review
  6. Rising burden of severe pediatric coccidioidomycosis: a 25-year single-center study.Journal of the Pediatric Infectious Diseases Society · 2026
    Observational
  7. Drug Interactions for Inhibition or Killing ofJournal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland) · 2026
    Article
  8. Killing ofMicrobiology (Reading, England) · 2026
    Article
  9. Review
  10. Article
  11. Drug Discovery and Repurposing forJournal of fungi (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025
    Review
  12. Detection of AirborneEnvironmental science & technology letters · 2025
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Simon K Camponuri
Alexandra K Heaney
Gail Sondermeyer Cooksey
Duc J Vugia
Seema Jain
Daniel L Swain
John Balmes
Justin V Remais
Jennifer R Head

Funding

Integrating Epidemiologic and Environmental Approaches to Understand and Predict Coccidioides Exposure and Coccidioidomycosis EmergenceR01AI148336 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI REMAIS, JUSTIN V · 2020 to 2024
$4.5M
Using massive, multi-regional EHR data to estimate the impacts of environmental and other risk factors on fungal disease epidemiology in the U.S.R01AI176770 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI KANSAS CITY · PI Mark Hoffman, Justin V Remais · 2023 to 2026
$3.2M
Modelled estimation of population immunity for coccidioidomycosis and the role of immunologically naïve populations in the shifting epidemiology of coccidioidomycosis in CaliforniaK01AI173529 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Jennifer Head · 2023 to 2026
$478k
NIAID NIH HHS K01 AI173529NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI148336NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI176770
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In 2023, California reported near-record high coccidioidomycosis cases after a dramatic transition from drought to heavy precipitation. Using an ensemble model, we forecasted 12,244 cases statewide during April 1, 2024-March 31, 2025, a 62% increase over cases reported 2 years before and on par with case counts for 2023.

Indexed as

ClimateCoccidioidomycosisCaliforniaHumansIncidenceCaliforniaclimate changecoccidioidomycosisensemble modelingforecastfungihydroclimateinfectious diseaseprecipitation variabilityUnited StatesValley fever

Identifiers

PMID40102178
PMCPMC12044236

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.