Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40100612›Full record

ArticleAnnals of biomedical engineering2026

The I-PREDICT 50th Percentile Male Finite Element Model: Development and Validation of the Torso.

Zachary S Hostetler, Drew DiSerafino, Alex Kalmar-Gonzalo, Derek Jones, Lance Frazer, Dan Nicolella, Matthew Davis

Abstract readValidation Study
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In one paragraph

Article in Annals of biomedical engineering, 2026. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Not yet cited in PubMed.

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2 · The registry

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Zachary S HostetlerElemance LLC, Winston-Salem, USA. zach.hostetler@elemance.com.
Drew DiSerafinoElemance LLC, Winston-Salem, USA.
Alex Kalmar-GonzaloElemance LLC, Winston-Salem, USA.
Derek JonesElemance LLC, Winston-Salem, USA.
Lance FrazerSouthwest Research Institute, San Antonio, USA.
Dan NicolellaSouthwest Research Institute, San Antonio, USA.
Matthew DavisElemance LLC, Winston-Salem, USA.

Funding

Office of Naval Research W81XWH1590001
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Behind Armor Blunt Trauma (BABT) is a phenomenon that occurs when energy is transferred from Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) to the human body and can range from minor to fatal injuries. The current standard to evaluate PPE uses Roma Plastilina No. 1 clay and has a poor correlation to human injuries. To provide a more suitable human surrogate for evaluating risk of injury and functional incapacitation due to BABT, the Incapacitation Prediction for Readiness in Expeditionary Domains: an Integrated Computational Tool (I-PREDICT) has developed a 50th percentile male human body model (HBM) to better understand injury mechanisms in the BABT environment. The model was developed using a hierarchical validation approach including component, regional, and whole torso level tests. Material properties were sourced from literature and I-PREDICT experimental test data, and the model was simulated in 25 different validation cases ranging from component level quasi-static tests to high-rate BABT impacts. The model was stable in all 25 simulations. CORrelation and Analysis (CORA) and BioRank were used to objectively quantify the model response. The average CORA and BioRank across all validation cases were 0.78 ± 0.18 and 0.68 ± 0.27, respectively, indicating 'good' agreement by CORA standards and 'excellent' by BioRank standards. When compared to high-rate BABT experimental impacts on post-mortem human subjects, the I-PREDICT HBM accurately predicted rib fracture probability. The ultimate goal of the I-PREDICT model is to predict injury and functional incapacitation for various in theater military applications. This study highlights the development and validation of the I-PREDICT torso and highlights initial BABT use cases.

Indexed as

Finite Element AnalysisModels, BiologicalPersonal Protective EquipmentTorsoWounds, NonpenetratingAdultHumansMaleBehind armor blunt traumaBlunt traumaFinite element modelingIncapacitation predictionThoracic injury

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.