Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40097631›Full record

ArticleGraefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie2025

Machine learning-based progress prediction in accelerated cross-linking for Keratoconus.

Qi Wan, Qiong Wang, Ran Wei, Jing Tang, Hongbo Yin, Ying-Ping Deng, Ke Ma

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Article in Graefe's archive for clinical and experimental ophthalmology = Albrecht von Graefes Archiv fur klinische und experimentelle Ophthalmologie, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

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2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors.

Qi WanDepartment of Ophthalmology, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Sichuan Province, Chengdu City, China.
Qiong WangDepartment of Ophthalmology, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Sichuan Province, Chengdu City, China.
Ran WeiDepartment of Ophthalmology, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Sichuan Province, Chengdu City, China.
Jing TangDepartment of Ophthalmology, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Sichuan Province, Chengdu City, China.
Hongbo YinDepartment of Ophthalmology, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Sichuan Province, Chengdu City, China.
Ying-Ping DengDepartment of Ophthalmology, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Sichuan Province, Chengdu City, China.
Ke MaDepartment of Ophthalmology, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Sichuan Province, Chengdu City, China. drmake@scu.edu.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundTo analyze corneal topographic and biomechanical parameters in keratoconus patients before undergoing accelerated corneal collagen cross-linking (A-CXL) surgery and use machine learning models to identify prognostic factors for disease progression after treatment.

methodsThis was a retrospective, single-center study on 95 eyes from 69 keratoconus patients (mean age 21.46 ± 7.07 years) undergoing A-CXL, with 3-22 months follow-up. Corneal tomography (Pentacam) and biomechanical measurements (Corvis ST) were performed at baseline and follow-up visits. Changes in the E-stage were used to define progression. LASSO, XGBoost, and random forest machine learning models were applied to identify prognostic factors. A nomogram was developed to predict progression probabilities.

results42.1% of eyes showed progression based on E-stage change. Maximal keratometry (Kmax) and index of surface variance (ISV) were significantly higher in the progression group. The nomogram incorporating Kmax and ISV predicted progression better than individual parameters. The progression rate was 51.4% in high-risk eyes versus 16% in low-risk eyes stratified by the nomogram.

conclusionsKmax and ISV are important prognostic factors for keratoconus progression after A-CXL. The nomogram can improve prediction accuracy compared to single parameters. It enables personalized risk assessment to guide treatment decisions.

Indexed as

CollagenCorneaCross-Linking ReagentsKeratoconusMachine LearningPhotochemotherapyAdolescentAdultCorneal StromaCorneal TopographyDisease ProgressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleNomogramsCollagenCross-Linking ReagentsPhotosensitizing AgentsRiboflavinA-CXLKeratoconusMachine-learningProgression

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.