Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40095234›Full record

ArticleDermatology and therapy2025

Cluster Analysis of Clinical Remission and Relapse Patterns in Chronic Urticaria: Results from the PREDICT-CU Study.

Maria-Magdalena Balp, Irina Pivneva, Andrii Danyliv, Kathleen Chen, Tom Cornwall, Jimmy Royer, James Signorovitch, Dhaval Patil, Ravneet K Kohli, Thomas Severin and 2 more

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Article in Dermatology and therapy, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

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2citing papers in PubMed
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1 · What the graph read from it

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2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

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2 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Maria-Magdalena BalpNovartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland. maria-magdalena.balp@novartis.com.
Irina PivnevaAnalysis Group, Inc., Montréal, QC, Canada.
Andrii DanylivNovartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland.
Kathleen ChenAnalysis Group, Inc., Montréal, QC, Canada.
Tom CornwallAnalysis Group, Inc., Montréal, QC, Canada.
Jimmy RoyerAnalysis Group, Inc., Montréal, QC, Canada.
James SignorovitchAnalysis Group, Inc., Boston, MA, USA.
Dhaval PatilNovartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation, Cambridge, MA, USA.
Ravneet K KohliNovartis Healthcare Pvt Ltd., Hyderabad, India.
Thomas SeverinNovartis Pharma AG, Basel, Switzerland.
Weily Soong *AllerVie Health-Alabama Allergy & Asthma Center, Clinical Research Center of Alabama, Birmingham, AL, USA.
Alexander M Marsland *University of Manchester, Manchester, UK.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

introductionPatients with chronic urticaria (CU) may have different clinical courses of disease including periods of active CU, clinical remission, and relapse. The objective of this study was to describe representative clinical remission and relapse profiles for patients with CU.

methodsAdults with a CU diagnosis and confirmation CU diagnosis/CU-related treatment at least 6 weeks later were identified in the Optum® de-identified Electronic Health Record dataset (2007-2018). Active CU was a period during which a patient was not in clinical remission. Clinical remission was defined as at least 12 months without CU diagnosis and/or treatment. Relapse was defined as having a CU diagnosis and/or treatment following clinical remission. A data-driven clustering algorithm grouped patients on the basis of clinical remission and relapse patterns.

resultsThe 112,443 patients were grouped into four clusters. Cluster 1 (N = 36,690 [32.6%]) had the shortest median time to clinical remission (4.1 months) and lowest relapse rate (38.0%). Cluster 2 (N = 29,834 [26.5%]) reached clinical remission later (10.0 months), with a higher relapse rate (52.3%). Clusters 3 (N = 24,093 [21.4%]) and 4 (N = 21,826 [19.4%]) had the longest median times to clinical remission (33.8 and 44.6 months) and highest relapse rates (75%). Cluster 4 had the most frequent CU diagnoses and treatments, and highest comorbidity burden, polypharmacy, and resource use.

conclusionsPatients in Clusters 3 and 4 had the lowest clinical remission and highest relapse rates relative to Clusters 1 and 2; additionally, Cluster 4 had higher resource use, more comorbidities, and polypharmacy. These cluster definitions could be used to develop a model to predict patients with relapsing and remitting patterns associated with higher disease burden who might require enhanced disease management.

Indexed as

Chronic urticariaClinical remissionClusteringComorbiditiesData-drivenElectronic health recordsK-prototype clusteringRelapseResource utilization

Identifiers

PMID40095234
PMCPMC11971071

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