Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40089483›Full record

ReviewNature communications2025

Early warning of complex climate risk with integrated artificial intelligence.

Markus Reichstein, Vitus Benson, Jan Blunk, Gustau Camps-Valls, Felix Creutzig, Carina J Fearnley, Boran Han, Kai Kornhuber, Nasim Rahaman, Bernhard Schölkopf and 9 more

Abstract readReview
In one paragraph

Review in Nature communications, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 11 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
11citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

11 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Climate research in the Global South.Nature communications · 2025
    Article
  11. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors.

Markus Reichstein *Amazon Web Services, Seattle and Santa Clara, WA and CA, USA. mreichstein@bgc-jena.mpg.de.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5736-1112
Vitus Benson *ELLIS Unit Jena, Jena, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4760-5501
Jan BlunkUniversity of Jena, Jena, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0009-0001-7037-3545
Gustau Camps-VallsUniversity of Valencia, Valencia, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-1683-2138
Felix CreutzigPotsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam and Berlin, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5710-3348
Carina J FearnleyUniversity College London, London, UK.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-0102-1391
Boran HanAmazon Web Services, Seattle and Santa Clara, WA and CA, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-9567-7062
Kai KornhuberLamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, New York, NY, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5466-2059
Nasim RahamanMax-Planck-Institute for Intelligent Systems, Tübingen, Germany.
Bernhard SchölkopfMax-Planck-Institute for Intelligent Systems, Tübingen, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8177-0925
José María TárragaUniversity of Valencia, Valencia, Spain.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3723-1692
Ricardo VinuesaKTH Royal Institute of Technology, Stockholm, Sweden.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6570-5499
Karen DallGerman Red Cross, Berlin, Germany.
Joachim DenzlerELLIS Unit Jena, Jena, Germany.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3193-3300
Dorothea FrankMax-Planck-Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany.
Giulia MartiniWorld Food Program, Rome, Italy.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9611-2191
Naomi NgangaKenya Red Cross, Nairobi, Kenya.
Danielle C MaddixAmazon Web Services, Seattle and Santa Clara, WA and CA, USA.
Kommy WeldemariamAmazon Web Services, Seattle and Santa Clara, WA and CA, USA.

Funding

EC | EU Framework Programme for Research and Innovation H2020 | H2020 Priority Excellent Science | H2020 European Research Council (H2020 Excellent Science - European Research Council) 855187
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As climate change accelerates, human societies face growing exposure to disasters and stress, highlighting the urgent need for effective early warning systems (EWS). These systems monitor, assess, and communicate risks to support resilience and sustainable development, but challenges remain in hazard forecasting, risk communication, and decision-making. This perspective explores the transformative potential of integrated Artificial Intelligence (AI) modeling. We highlight the role of AI in developing multi-hazard EWSs that integrate Meteorological and Geospatial foundation models (FMs) for impact prediction. A user-centric approach with intuitive interfaces and community feedback is emphasized to improve crisis management. To address climate risk complexity, we advocate for causal AI models to avoid spurious predictions and stress the need for responsible AI practices. We highlight the FATES (Fairness, Accountability, Transparency, Ethics, and Sustainability) principles as essential for equitable and trustworthy AI-based Early Warning Systems for all. We further advocate for decadal EWSs, leveraging climate ensembles and generative methods to enable long-term, spatially resolved forecasts for proactive climate adaptation.

Identifiers

PMID40089483
PMCPMC11910612

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.