Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40087641›Full record

ArticleBMC public health2025

Global Burden of substance use disorders among adolescents during 1990-2021 and a forecast for 2022-2030: an analysis for the Global Burden of Disease 2021.

Chengchao Yu, Jianhua Chen

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Chengchao YuShanghai Mental Health Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200030, China.
Jianhua ChenShanghai Mental Health Center, Shanghai Jiao Tong University School of Medicine, Shanghai, 200030, China. jianhua.chen@smhc.org.cn.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDespite the increasing attention paid to adolescents with substance use disorders (SUD), the financial investment does not appear to align with the escalating demand for its prevention and treatment services. This study aims to provide comprehensive and up-to-date estimates of the burden of SUD among adolescents globally, regionally, and nationally over the last 32 years.

methodsUtilizing data from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2021, we concentrated on adolescents aged 10 to 24 years with SUD. We conducted a Bayesian age-period-cohort analysis and Nordpred model that encompasses age-standardized prevalence rates (ASPR), age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR), disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) rates, and estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) across various demographic factors, including regions, age groups, gender, and socio-demographic index (SDI), covering the period from 1990 to 2021.

resultsFrom 1990 to 2021, there was a significant decrease in the burden of adolescent SUD (EAPC = -1.17, 95%CI: -1.29 to -1.05). However, tremendously increasing trends of rate of DALYs were observed in high SDI regions (EAPC = 1.21, 95%CI: 1.11 to 1.32). Substantially increasing trend of burden attributable to adolescent SUD was detected in the United States of America (EAPC = 1.78, 95%CI: 1.64 to 1.92). Mongolia exhibited significantly increasing trend of ASPR (EAPC = 1.33, 95%CI: 1.10 to 1.56) and ASIR (EAPC = 1.21, 95%CI: 1.02 to 1.39). By 2030, the age-standardized DALYs rate of global adolescent SUD will decline from 88.49 to 79.27 per 100,000 individuals.

conclusionsThe burden of adolescent SUD shows diversity among SDI regions and countries. It ought to set a series of strict policies for adolescent substance control and precise financial management in prevention programs.

Indexed as

Global Burden of DiseaseGlobal HealthSubstance-Related DisordersAdolescentBayes TheoremChildDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleForecastingHumansIncidenceMalePrevalenceYoung AdultAdolescentsAge-period-cohortGlobal burden of diseaseSubstance use disorders

Identifiers

PMID40087641
PMCPMC11909827

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.