Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40080488›Full record

ArticlePloS one2025

Determining cost-saving risk thresholds for statin use.

Afschin Gandjour

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Observational
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Afschin GandjourFrankfurt School of Finance & Management, Frankfurt, Germany.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4262-8344

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe German government has recently drafted a bill proposing a reduction in the prescription threshold for statin use. This study aims to determine the cost-saving risk threshold for statin use in Germany to inform this proposed change.

methodsAn economic evaluation utilizing a decision-analytic model was performed, using secondary data to compare statin use versus no statin use from the perspective of German sickness fund insurees. The analysis focused on cost savings from avoided cardiovascular (CV) events, translating these avoided events into net savings after accounting for treatment costs and potential side effects. The study considered the German adult population insured by sickness funds and used a lifetime horizon for the analysis.

resultsThe maximum number needed to treat (NNT) to achieve cost savings over 10 years was found to be 39, leading to a minimum CV risk threshold for savings of 10.2%. It was estimated that approximately 19% of the adult population in Germany has a 10-year CV risk of ≥ 10.2%, potentially avoiding between 271,739 and 581,363 CV events over 10 years, with net population savings of approximately €15 billion.

conclusionsA threshold for statin prescription in Germany set at a 10.2% 10-year CV risk could significantly increase the number of patients benefiting from statin therapy, reducing CV events and generating substantial cost savings. These findings suggest that adjustments to prescription guidelines could improve cardiovascular outcomes and economic efficiency within the German healthcare system.

Indexed as

Cardiovascular DiseasesCost SavingsHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase InhibitorsAdultCost-Benefit AnalysisFemaleGermanyHumansMaleMiddle AgedHydroxymethylglutaryl-CoA Reductase Inhibitors

Identifiers

PMID40080488
PMCPMC11906068

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Texttitle and abstract
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.