Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40072961›Full record

Observational studyPLoS neglected tropical diseases2025

Assessing the global dengue burden: Incidence, mortality, and disability trends over three decades.

Wei-Xian Zhang, Tian-Yu Zhao, Cun-Chen Wang, Yong He, Hong-Zheng Lu, Hai-Ting Zhang, Lin-Min Wang, Mao Zhang, Chun-Xiao Li, Sheng-Qun Deng

Abstract readObservational Study
In one paragraph

Observational study in PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 56 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
56citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

56 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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  6. Vector competence acrossJournal of virology · 2026
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Wei-Xian ZhangDepartment of Pathology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Tian-Yu ZhaoChina National Center for Biotechnology Development, Beijing, China.
Cun-Chen WangDepartment of Pathogen Biology, Anhui Province Key Laboratory of Zoonoses, The Provincial Key Laboratory of Zoonoses of High Institutions in Anhui, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Yong HeDepartment of Pathogen Biology, Anhui Province Key Laboratory of Zoonoses, The Provincial Key Laboratory of Zoonoses of High Institutions in Anhui, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Hong-Zheng LuDepartment of Pathogen Biology, Anhui Province Key Laboratory of Zoonoses, The Provincial Key Laboratory of Zoonoses of High Institutions in Anhui, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Hai-Ting ZhangDepartment of Pathogen Biology, Anhui Province Key Laboratory of Zoonoses, The Provincial Key Laboratory of Zoonoses of High Institutions in Anhui, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Lin-Min WangDepartment of Pathogen Biology, Anhui Province Key Laboratory of Zoonoses, The Provincial Key Laboratory of Zoonoses of High Institutions in Anhui, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Mao ZhangDepartment of Pathogen Biology, Anhui Province Key Laboratory of Zoonoses, The Provincial Key Laboratory of Zoonoses of High Institutions in Anhui, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.
Chun-Xiao LiState Key Laboratory of Pathogen and Biosecurity, Beijing Institute of Microbiology and Epidemiology, Beijing, China.
Sheng-Qun DengDepartment of Pathology, The Second Affiliated Hospital of Anhui Medical University, Hefei, China.ORCID 0000-0003-0901-7661

Funding

National Natural Science Foundation of China
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundDengue, the fastest-spreading vector-borne disease (VBD), significantly burdens global health systems. This study analyzed the trends in the global burden of dengue from 1990 to 2021, utilizing data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2021 (GBD 2021). METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL

findingsWe retrieved data from GBD 2021 regarding dengue, including the number of incidences and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR), the number of deaths and age-standardized death rate (ASDR), disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and age-standardized DALYs. The estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) of ASIR, ASDR, and standardized DALYs rate was calculated to quantify trends over time. In addition, the correlations between dengue burden and sea level rise, as well as the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), were evaluated. In this study, it was observed that from 1990 to 2021, the global incidence of dengue escalated from 26.45 million to 58.96 million cases, accompanied by an increase in related deaths from 14,315 to 29,075, and DALYs rising from 1.25 million to 2.08 million years. These data collectively indicate that the disease burden approximately doubled, with South Asia, Southeast Asia, and tropical Latin America being the most severely affected regions. The disease burden remained substantial in middle and low-middle-SDI regions, whereas high-middle and high SDI regions experienced pronounced growth rates in ASIR, ASDR, and age-standardized DALYs rate. Adolescents and the elderly showed higher incidence, yet children under 5 had the highest DALYs. Correlation analyses revealed an inverted U-shaped relationship between the SDI and both the ASDR and age-standardized DALYs rate, and changes in sea level height strongly correlated with the overall dengue burden. CONCLUSIONS/SIGNIFICANCE: The global dengue burden has surged due to climate change, vector transmission, and population mobility. Increased focus and tailored control strategies are essential, particularly in South Asia, Southeast Asia, and Latin America.

Indexed as

DengueGlobal Burden of DiseaseAdolescentAdultAgedAsia, SoutheasternAsia, SouthernChildChild, PreschoolDisability-Adjusted Life YearsFemaleHumansIncidenceLatin AmericaMaleMiddle Aged

Identifiers

PMID40072961
PMCPMC11925280

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.