Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40069657›Full record

ArticleBMC medicine2025

Long-term cost-effectiveness of health behaviour intervention to manage type 2 diabetes in Nepal.

Padam Kanta Dahal, Corneel Vandelanotte, Lal Rawal, Rashidul Alam Mahumud, Grish Paudel, Melanie Lloyd, Yeji Baek, Biraj Karmacharya, Tomohiko Sugishita, Zanfina Ademi

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMC medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Trial
  4. Cost-Effectiveness of a Lifestyle and Behavioral Care Model Targeting Cardiometabolic Disease Progression.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2026
    Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors.

Padam Kanta DahalSchool of Health, Medical and Applied Sciences, Central Queensland University, Sydney Campus, 400 Kent Street, NSW, Rockhampton, 2000, Australia. padamdahal1@gmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-5978-3762
Corneel VandelanotteAppleton Institute, Physical Activity Research Group, Central Queensland University, Queensland, Australia.
Lal RawalSchool of Health, Medical and Applied Sciences, Central Queensland University, Sydney Campus, 400 Kent Street, NSW, Rockhampton, 2000, Australia.
Rashidul Alam MahumudNHMRC Clinical Trials Centre, Faculty of Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, Camperdown, NSW, Australia.
Grish PaudelSchool of Health, Medical and Applied Sciences, Central Queensland University, Sydney Campus, 400 Kent Street, NSW, Rockhampton, 2000, Australia.
Melanie LloydHealth Economics and Policy Evaluation Research (HEPER) Group, Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Faculty of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Yeji BaekHealth Economics and Policy Evaluation Research (HEPER) Group, Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Faculty of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.
Biraj KarmacharyaDepartment of Community Medicine, Kathmandu University Hospital, Dhulikhel, Nepal.
Tomohiko SugishitaSection of Global Health, Department of Hygiene and Public Health, Tokyo Women's Medical University, Tokyo, Japan.
Zanfina AdemiHealth Economics and Policy Evaluation Research (HEPER) Group, Centre for Medicine Use and Safety, Faculty of Pharmacy and Pharmaceutical Sciences, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundLong-term cost-effectiveness analyses of health behaviour interventions to effectively manage type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) in low-income countries are crucial for minimising economic burden and optimising resource allocation. Therefore, this study aimed to estimate the long-term cost-effectiveness of implementing a health behaviour intervention to manage T2DM in Nepal.

methodsA Markov model in combination with a decision tree was developed to compare the costs and outcomes of the health behaviour intervention against usual care among 481 (238-intervention and 243-control) participants from healthcare system and societal perspectives. The model integrates empirical trial data, with published data to inform parameters not collected during the trial. The model estimated costs, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and cost-effectiveness over 5 years, 10 years, 20 years, 30 years and a lifetime time horizons with 3% annual discounting. Sub-group, scenarios, both one-way and two-way analyses and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) were performed to assess the impact of uncertainty in the model under the threshold of 3 times gross domestic product (GDP) per capita (i.e., US $4140) for Nepal.

resultsBase-case analysis with lifetime horizon showed that the health behaviour intervention compared to usual care improved QALYs by 3.88 and increased costs by US $4293 per patient, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of US $1106 per QALY gained from a healthcare system perspective. From a societal perspective, QALYs also improved by 3.88 and costs increased by US $4550, with an ICER of US $1173 per QALY gained. Furthermore, the intervention demonstrated ICERs of US $636, US $678, US $637, and US $632 per QALY gained over 5-, 10-, 20-, and 30-year time horizons, respectively, from a healthcare system perspective, and US $719, US $766, US $659, and US $716 per QALY gained from a societal perspective. In the PSA, the probability of the health behaviour intervention being cost-effective was over 57%.

conclusionsThe health behaviour intervention for managing T2DM was cost-effective over a lifetime horizon compared to usual care. To maximise its impact, this intervention should be scaled up nationwide, and future research is warranted to assess the long-term cost-effectiveness across diverse settings in low-income countries.

trial registrationAustralia and New Zealand Clinical Trial Registry (ACTRN12621000531819).

Indexed as

Cost-Benefit AnalysisDiabetes Mellitus, Type 2Health BehaviorAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMarkov ChainsMiddle AgedNepalQuality-Adjusted Life YearsHealth behaviour interventionLong-term cost-effectivenessMarkov modellingType 2 diabetes

Identifiers

PMID40069657
PMCPMC11900644

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.