Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40067557›Full record

ArticleEuropean geriatric medicine2025

Frailty trajectories and mortality risk in community-dwelling older adults: a 9-year follow-up study.

Gabriela Cabett Cipolli, Daniela de Assumpção, Ivan Aprahamian, Mallak Khalid Alzahrani, Ligiana Pires Corona, Yeda Aparecida de Oliveira Duarte, Mônica Sanches Yassuda, Qian-Li Xue

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European geriatric medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Cognitive Impairment Predicts Adverse Outcomes in CKD.Kidney international reports · 2026
    Article
  3. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors.

Gabriela Cabett CipolliFaculty of Medical Sciences, State University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6966-1654
Daniela de AssumpçãoFaculty of Medical Sciences, State University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.
Ivan AprahamianFaculty of Medicine of Jundiaí, Jundiaí, Brazil.
Mallak Khalid AlzahraniCenter on Aging and Health, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.
Ligiana Pires CoronaFaculty of Medical Sciences, State University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil.
Yeda Aparecida de Oliveira DuarteSchool of Nursing, University of São Paulo, São Paulo, Brazil.
Mônica Sanches YassudaFaculty of Medical Sciences, State University of Campinas, Campinas, Brazil. yassuda@usp.br.
Qian-Li XueCenter on Aging and Health, Johns Hopkins School of Medicine, Baltimore, MD, USA.

Funding

Technological Assessment and Solutions Core - RC4P30AG021334 · NIA · JOHNS HOPKINS UNIVERSITY · PI Jeremy D Walston · 2003 to 2026
$33.2M
Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo 2022/14795-4NIA NIH HHS P30 AG021334
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeFrailty is a well-established risk factor for adverse health outcomes, yet its dynamic nature and predictors remain partially understood. This study aimed to investigate factors influencing frailty transitions and mortality risk among community-dwelling older adults.

methodsWe conducted a longitudinal study using a 9-year follow-up data from the Health, Well-being, and Aging Study (SABE, as known in Portuguese). A Markov model, fitted via multinomial logistic regression, identified factors independently associated with frailty transitions between waves. Four trajectory groups were identified: stable, worsening, improving, and fluctuating.

resultsA total of 1399 individuals aged 60 and older (61.8% female) were enrolled, with a mean age of 73.9 (SD ± 9.2) years. Among frailty transitions, 37.8% remained stable, 56.4% worsened, 1.3% improved, and 4.4% fluctuated. After adjusting for baseline variables, we found that older age, cognitive impairment, multimorbidity, and depressive symptoms were significantly linked to a higher risk of being frail at the next visit. The mortality risk was associated with male sex, older age, frailty, cognitive impairment, and multimorbidity.

conclusionSociodemographic and health-related factors contribute to increased risk of experiencing frailty and mortality among community-dwelling older adults. Further research is needed to identify modifiable factors influencing frailty transitions.

Indexed as

Frail ElderlyFrailtyIndependent LivingMortalityAgedAged, 80 and overCognitive DysfunctionDepressionFemaleFollow-Up StudiesGeriatric AssessmentHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedMultimorbidityAgedFrailtyMortalityTrajectory

Identifiers

PMID40067557
PMCPMC13191410

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.