Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40066299›Full record

ArticleJournal of pain research2025

Generation of Risk Score for Serious Non-Steroidal Anti-Inflammatory Drug (NSAID) Induced Cardiovascular Events (NAÏVE) Among Active-Duty Service Members and Veterans.

Timothy J Atkinson, Justin Petway, Whitney L Forbes, Hannah Thorfinnson, Ryan C Costantino, Laura E Gressler

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of pain research, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors.

Timothy J AtkinsonPain Management, Opioid Safety, PDMP (PMOP), National Program Office, Department of Veterans Affairs, Washington, DC, USA.
Justin PetwayPharmacy Service, VA Tennessee Valley Healthcare System, Nashville, TN, USA.
Whitney L ForbesEnterprise Intelligence and Data Solutions Program Management Office, Program Executive Office, Defense Healthcare Management Systems, Defense Health Agency, Rosslyn, VA, USA.
Hannah ThorfinnsonPharmacy Service, James A, Haley Veteran's Hospital, Tampa, FL, USA.
Ryan C CostantinoEnterprise Intelligence and Data Solutions Program Management Office, Program Executive Office, Defense Healthcare Management Systems, Defense Health Agency, Rosslyn, VA, USA.
Laura E GresslerDivision of Pharmaceutical Evaluation and Policy, College of Pharmacy, University of Arkansas for Medical Sciences, Little Rock, AR, USA.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Importance: This study addresses the critical need for an evidence-based instrument to assess the likelihood of NSAID-induced cardiovascular events, that provides clinicians with valuable decision support to improve safety in their use for pain management, especially in patients vulnerable to cardiovascular events. Objective: To develop a practical risk scoring tool, NSAID Induced Cardiovascular Events (NAÏVE), for estimating the risk of serious cardiovascular events associated with NSAID use. Design: Retrospective nested case-control study. Setting: The study leveraged data from the DAVINCI database, integrating electronic health records, administrative data, and clinical data from both the Veterans Health Administration (VHA) and the Department of Defense (DoD). Participants: The study cohort consisted of individuals with at least one NSAID pharmacy claim, with cases defined as those experiencing non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke, or new heart failure. Interventions: Development of the NAÏVE risk scoring tool involved a comprehensive analysis of demographic, clinical, and prescription-related variables, including NSAID exposure, comorbidities, and medication history. Main Outcomes/Measures: The primary outcome was the first occurrence of a cardiovascular event. Results: The study cohort comprised 231,967 cases and 2,319,670 controls, identified from individuals with at least one NSAID pharmacy claim between October 1, 2016, and September 30, 2020. The risk index, NAÏVE, demonstrated strong discriminatory ability and calibration, with a C-statistic of 0.88. Variables such as age, NSAID exposure, comorbidities, and medication history were associated with increased odds of NSAID-induced cardiovascular events. Conclusions/Relevance: NAÏVE is the first evidence-based risk scoring tool providing clinicians with valuable decision support for assessing the potential risk of serious cardiovascular events associated with NSAID use. It fills a crucial gap in clinical practice, allowing for transparent discussions with patients and shared decision-making regarding NSAID prescriptions. Further validation and prospective testing are warranted for broader applicability.

Indexed as

cardiovascularheart failuremyocardial infarctionNSAIDrisk toolstroke

Identifiers

PMID40066299
PMCPMC11892502

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.