Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40064028›Full record

ArticleEuropean journal of public health2025

Modelling annual prevalence of tobacco consumption in Spain, 1991-2020.

Carla Guerra-Tort, Esther López-Vizcaíno, María Isolina Santiago-Pérez, Julia Rey-Brandariz, Cristina Candal-Pedreira, Leonor Varela-Lema, Iñaki Galán, Alberto Ruano-Ravina, Mónica Pérez-Ríos

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in European journal of public health, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 1 paper.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
1citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

1 citing paper in PubMed.

  1. The preventable burden of tobacco-attributable cancer incidence in Catalonia (Spain) in 2024: a Bayesian approach.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Carla Guerra-TortDepartment of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-1027-5668
Esther López-VizcaínoDiffusion and Information Service, Galician Institute of Statistics, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-7406-5849
María Isolina Santiago-PérezHealth Information Service, Directorate-General of Public Health, Galician Regional Health Authority, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-3931-7182
Julia Rey-BrandarizDepartment of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-2960-8437
Cristina Candal-PedreiraDepartment of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0002-1703-3592
Leonor Varela-LemaDepartment of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-8365-7961
Iñaki GalánNational Centre for Epidemiology, Carlos III Institute of Health, Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-0624-9993
Alberto Ruano-RavinaDepartment of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0001-9927-7453
Mónica Pérez-RíosDepartment of Preventive Medicine and Public Health, Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, Santiago de Compostela, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-4456-6631

Funding

European UnionInstituto de Salud Carlos III PI22/00727
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The aim of this study was to estimate the series of tobacco smoking prevalence year-by-year in Spain, by sex and age group, for the period 1991-2020. Based on smoking prevalence obtained from national surveys and smoking-related auxiliary information from public statistics, we fitted a multinomial logistic mixed model with random area and time effects. Joinpoint regression was used to identify changes in the prevalence series across the period. To analyse the precision of the model-based estimates, we calculated the coefficients of variation. Between 1991 and 2020, the prevalence of smoking in Spain decreased in both sexes. In the 15-24 age group, the prevalence of smokers showed no differences by sex until 2007, after which prevalence in men exceeded that of women. However, in women aged 55 and over prevalence of smoking has been rising since 1991. After applying the model, the precision of smoking prevalence estimates improved. The reconstruction of a detailed series of tobacco smoking prevalence provides insight into the evolution of the tobacco epidemic in Spain. A detailed analysis by sex and age shows different trends in the prevalence of smoking among women that should be considered when control measures are formulated.

Indexed as

SmokingTobacco UseAdolescentAdultAgedFemaleHumansMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceSex DistributionSpainYoung Adult

Identifiers

PMID40064028
PMCPMC11967886

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.