Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40063237›Full record

ArticleAnnals of surgical oncology2025

Are More Young, Western Patients Also Developing Hepatocellular Carcinoma?

Daniel S Cheah, Kathryn Tsai, Fumihiro Kawano, Helen J Kemprecos, Oscar Salirrosas, Annie Tigranyan, Mark S Cohen, Gregory Polites, Onur C Kutlu, Yoshihiro Mise and 2 more

Erratum issuedAbstract read
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In one paragraph

Article in Annals of surgical oncology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. An erratum has been issued. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors.

Daniel S CheahCarle Illinois College of Medicine, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA.
Kathryn TsaiCarle Illinois College of Medicine, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA.
Fumihiro KawanoCarle Foundation Hospital, Urbana, IL, USA.
Helen J KemprecosCarle Illinois College of Medicine, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA.
Oscar SalirrosasUT Southwestern Medical Center, Dallas, TX, USA.
Annie TigranyanCarle Illinois College of Medicine, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA.
Mark S CohenCarle Illinois College of Medicine, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA.
Gregory PolitesCarle Illinois College of Medicine, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA.
Onur C KutluLeonard M. Miller School of Medicine, University of Miami, Miami, FL, USA.
Yoshihiro MiseJuntendo University Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.
Akio SaiuraJuntendo University Hospital, Tokyo, Japan.
Claudius ConradCarle Illinois College of Medicine, University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, IL, USA. claudius@illinois.edu.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWhile the incidence of early-onset cancers is rising, it is unclear whether this is the case for early-onset hepatocellular carcinoma (eHCC). Even the definition of eHCC remains unclear. This study was designed to identify an age cutoff for eHCC and to explore trends in its incidence, clinical presentation, surgical outcomes, and long-term survival compared to typical-onset HCC (tHCC).

methodsThe National Cancer Database was queried for HCC patients (2010-2021). Both eHCC (< 50 years) and tHCC (≥ 50 years) were statistically defined. Propensity score matching adjustment, multivariate hazard ratios, and stage-dependent Kaplan-Meier survival analysis were calculated.

resultsAmong 207,653 patients, 10,128 (4.88%) had eHCC, with decreasing incidence from 2010 to 2021 (7.50% to 3.83%). eHCC had higher grade, synchronous metastasis, and nodal involvement. Independent predictors of worse 5-year survival included tHCC, uninsured, and higher TNM staging. Despite worse clinical characteristics, eHCC had improved survival across all stages (p < 0.001). After matching, eHCC had improved outcomes for stage I, II (p < 0.001, p = 0.004), and T1-T3 tumors (p < 0.001, p = 0.002, p = 0.045), but not T4. Minority status, lack of insurance, lower income, and greater distance to the hospital are independent predictors of eHCC.

conclusionsAfter defining a novel, evidence-based age cutoff for eHCC, data indicate that while cancer incidence among younger patients is generally rising, the incidence of eHCC is declining. Although eHCC are more advanced cancers, they have improved outcomes compared to tHCC when undergoing surgery. In this context, especially young patients with stage I, II, or tumor ≤ T3 have favorable outcomes following resection.

Indexed as

Carcinoma, HepatocellularLiver NeoplasmsAdultAgedAge of OnsetFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHepatectomyHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingPrognosisPropensity ScoreSurvival RateEarly-onset cancerHepatocellular carcinomaNCDBTrends

Identifiers

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.