Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40061381›Full record

SynthesisFrontiers in medicine2025

Evaluating the predictive value of clinical models for HBV-related hepatocellular carcinoma: A meta-analysis.

Long Huang, Luhuai Feng, Yang Lu, Bobin Hu, Hongqian Liang, Aoli Ren, Hang Wang, Wenming He, Caifang Deng, Minghua Su and 1 more

Abstract readSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in Frontiers in medicine, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 3 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
3citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

3 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Guideline
  2. Trial
  3. [APASL clinical practice guidelines on the management of chronic hepatitis B infection: a 2026 update].Zhonghua gan zang bing za zhi = Zhonghua ganzangbing zazhi = Chinese journal of hepatology · 2026
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Long Huang *Department of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Luhuai Feng *Department of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Yang LuDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Bobin HuDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Hongqian LiangDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Aoli RenDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Hang WangDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Wenming HeDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Caifang DengDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Minghua SuDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China.
Jianning JiangDepartment of Infectious Diseases, The First Affiliated Hospital of Guangxi Medical University, Nanning, Guangxi, China.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Objectives: Chronic viral hepatitis B (CHB) is a prevalent liver disease with primary hepatic carcinoma (HCC) as a severe complication. Clinical prediction models have gained attention for predicting HBV-related HCC (HBV-HCC). This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of existing models for HBV-HCC through meta-analysis. Design: Meta-analysis. Data sources: Embase, PubMed, the Chinese Biomedical Literature Service System, and the Cochrane database were used for searches between 1970 and 2022. Methods: A meta-analysis was conducted to assess original studies on HBV-HCC prediction models. The REACH-B, GAGHCC, and CUHCC models were externally validated in a Guangxi cohort. The C-index and calibration curve evaluated 5 years predictive performance, with subgroup analysis by region and risk bias. Results: After screening, 27 research articles were included, covering the GAGHCC, REACH-B, PAGE-B, CU-HCC, CAMD, and mPAGE-B models. The meta-analysis indicated that these models had moderate discrimination in predicting HCC risk in HBV-infected patients, with C-index values from 0.75 to 0.82. The mPAGE-B (0.79, 95% CI: 0.79-0.80), GAG-HCC (0.80, 95% CI: 0.78-0.82), and CAMD (0.80, 95% CI: 0.78-0.81) models demonstrated better discrimination than others ( Conclusion: Existing models have predictive value for HBV-infected patients but show geographical limitations and reduced effectiveness in Guangxi.

Indexed as

chronic HBV infectionclinical prediction modelexternal validationfull managementhepatic carcinoma

Identifiers

PMID40061381
PMCPMC11885123

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.