Evidence map›Paper›PMID 40059256›Full record

ArticleAmerican journal of clinical dermatology2025

Clinical Outcomes and Prognostic Factors in Bullous Pemphigoid Patients: A 15-Year Review in China.

Shan Cao, Wenchao Li, Zhenzhen Wang, Hongda Li, Pengcheng Huai, Tongsheng Chu, Baoqi Yang, Yonghu Sun, Peiye Xing, Guizhi Zhou and 7 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in American journal of clinical dermatology, 2025. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

17 authors.

Shan Cao *Hospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Wenchao Li *Hospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Zhenzhen WangHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Hongda LiHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Pengcheng HuaiHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Tongsheng ChuHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Baoqi YangHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Yonghu SunHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Peiye XingHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Guizhi ZhouHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Yongxia LiuHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Shengli ChenHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Qing YangHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Mei WuHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Zhongxiang ShiHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China.
Hong LiuHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China. hongyue2519@hotmail.com.
Furen ZhangHospital for Skin Diseases, Shandong First Medical University, Jinan, Shandong Province, China. zhangfuren@hotmail.com.

Funding

Joint Innovation Team for Clinical & Basic Research 202410Shandong Province Taishan Scholar Project tspd20230608Shandong Province Taishan Scholar Project tsqn201909141
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThere are limited data on clinical outcomes and prognosis factors for bullous pemphigoid (BP) at long-term follow-up.

objectiveWe aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes and prognostic factors in BP patients.

methodsThis retrospective study was performed between January 1, 2009 and December 31, 2023 in Shandong Province, China. The primary outcomes were the rates and predictive factors of mortality, complete remission off-therapy (CROT), and relapse by Cox proportional hazards models or logistic regression analyses. Nomograms for BP mortality and CROT were also described.

resultsOf the 1063 BP patients enrolled, 45 were excluded due to loss to follow-up. The cohort comprised 1018 BP patients to analyze. A total of 344 (33.8%) patients died, with cumulative 1-, 3-, and 5-year mortality rates of 22.8%, 31.2%, and 34.5%, respectively. Increased age at onset (HR = 1.08), body surface area (BSA) involvement 10-30%, BSA involvement > 30% (HR = 7.19; HR = 9.84, respectively), double-positive IgG and C3 on DIF (HR = 1.37), and systemic corticosteroid in combination  with immunosuppressants treatments (HR = 0.50) were associated with mortality. A total of 321 (31.5%) patients achieved CROT. Cumulative CROT rates at 1, 3, and 5 years were 10.9%, 32.9%, and 47.5%, respectively. Shorter diagnosis delay time (HR = 1.01), baseline anti-BP180 antibody < 50 IU/mL (HR = 1.48) and systemic drugs other than corticosteroid treatment (HR = 1.68) were associated with CROT. Predictive models demonstrated outstanding performance in classifying mortality at 1, 3, and 5 years (AUCs 0.83, 0.86, 0.88), but moderate classification for CROT (AUCs 0.67, 0.62, 0.63). A total of 749 (73.6%) patients experienced relapses.

conclusionsThis study, the first large cohort to examine long-term outcomes in BP patients, identifies risk factors for mortality and CROT, offering key insights for clinicians to improve prognosis and reduce relapse rates.

Indexed as

Pemphigoid, BullousAdrenal Cortex HormonesAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge of OnsetChinaComplement C3FemaleFollow-Up StudiesHumansMaleMiddle AgedNomogramsPrognosisRecurrenceAdrenal Cortex HormonesComplement C3

Identifiers

PMID40059256
PMCPMC12085378

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.